Jos — 14-Day Forecast
DNJO · issued 14 Nov 26 03:23Z
Sources used (7): Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov)≈ 1.0 Foreca▲ 1.2 Met.no (Yr)≈ 1.1 Open-Meteo▲ 1.1 OpenWeather≈ 1.1 Tomorrow.io▲ 1.1 Visual Crossing▲ 1.1
▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations)
Sat14 Nov 26
GEGGGGGGEFFFFEEEFGFDDDDD
1900–2300L (Marginal, 5 h) ☾
73%
Sun15 Nov 26
DDDDDDDEFGGGGFFFFFEDDDDD
best window: 0001–0600L (Marginal, 7 h) ☾ 1900–2300L (Marginal, 5 h) ☾
78%
Mon16 Nov 26
DDDDDEEEFGGGGFFFFEDDDDDD
0001–0400L (Marginal, 5 h) ☾ 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾
76%
Tue17 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDEFFFFFFFEEEEDDDD
0001–0700L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾ 2000–2300L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾
73%
Wed18 Nov 26
DDDDDDEEEFFFFFFFFEEDDDDD
0001–0500L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾ 1900–2300L (Marginal, 5 h) ☾
73%
Thu19 Nov 26
EEEEEEEFFFFFFFFFFFEEEE·E
no windows
71%
Fri20 Nov 26
EFE·····EEFFFGGGGGGFFFFE
no windows
70%
Sat21 Nov 26
EEEEEEFFGGGGGGGGGGGGGFFF
no windows
70%
Sun22 Nov 26
FFFFFFGGGGGGGGFGGGGGGGFF
no windows
69%
Mon23 Nov 26
FEEE······EGGGGGGE······
no windows
68%
Tue24 Nov 26
··············EEFFEEEEEE
no windows
68%
Wed25 Nov 26
E··EEEEEEE···EEEEEFE···D
no windows
66%
Thu26 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDDDDEFFF·EEEEE··E
0001–1000L (Marginal, 11 h) ☾
68%
Fri27 Nov 26
FGGGGFFFFGGGGGGGFEFFEEEE
no windows
69%
A ExcellentB GoodC FairD MarginalE PoorF Very PoorG Unacceptable· No data
Best window (highest confidence, then grade, then length): Sun 15 Nov 26 0001–0600L (Marginal, 7 h) ☾, confidence 78%.
Learned corrections (METAR-verified): skill weighting — pooled all-field scores for 206; bias corrections — metcheck wind +5.0 kt, jma wind +4.8 kt, meteoblue wind +4.0 kt, wttrin wind +3.2 kt, aifs wind +3.0 kt, meteoblue QNH −3.0 hPa (+67 more); hour-of-day bias (local time, shrunk toward the all-hours bias) — metcheck afternoon wind +5.0 kt, metcheck evening wind +5.0 kt, metcheck morning wind +5.0 kt, jma afternoon wind +4.8 kt, jma morning wind +4.7 kt, meteoblue morning wind +3.9 kt (+284 more); cloud base estimated as 410 ft per °C of dewpoint spread for sources that report no ceiling (≥60% cloud cover; flagged estimated, weighted ×0.5); probability calibration — rain chance: meteoblue, Open-Meteo, Foreca, metcheck, OpenWeather, Visual Crossing, Tomorrow.io, wttrin, ecmwf, gfs, icon, ukmo, gem, ecmwfens; storm: Open-Meteo, Met.no (Yr), Foreca, OpenWeather, Visual Crossing, Tomorrow.io, wttrin, ecmwf, gfs, icon, meteofrance, Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov), ukmo, jma, gem, ecmwfens, aifs (each source's stated probability mapped to its verified frequency by an isotonic fit on ≥200 pairs, proven on the holdout); fog risk (n=1150): observed fog frequency by dewpoint spread, wind, local hour and season for the forecast conditions (shown from 10 %), proven on the holdout; plausibility bounds from ERA5 climatology 2016-2025 (mean ± 5 sd; screening only, not observed truth); skill blend 1 auto-tuned over 9405 holdout pairs (consensus beat the best single source, Tomorrow.io, by 16%); correction gates (newest-7-day holdout; pooled skill is always on) — regional skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); place skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); lead-time skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); small-sample skill shrinkage: off this week (did not improve holdout); bias correction: on (improved holdout by 21.2%); place bias: on (improved holdout by 9.7%); hour-of-day bias: on (improved holdout by 6.1%); QNH bias: on (improved holdout by 58.3%); gust estimates: off this week (did not improve holdout); cloud-base coefficient: off this week (insufficient holdout: 73 of 200 items); recent-form skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); probability calibration: on (improved holdout by 18.4%); nowcast anchor horizon: off this week (did not improve holdout); dust-visibility estimate: off this week (did not improve holdout); fog risk: on (improved holdout by 13.3%).
Outlook
| Day | Date | Outlook | Temp | Max wind | Flight windows | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| Sat | 14 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 17–29°C | 10 kts ENE, g 17 | 1900–2300L (Marginal, 5 h) ☾ | 73% | 8% interpolated |
| Sun | 15 Nov 26 | Marginal | 17–30°C | 11 kts ENE, g 19 | 0001–0600L (Marginal, 7 h) ☾; 1900–2300L (Marginal, 5 h) ☾ | 78% | 10% interpolated |
| Mon | 16 Nov 26 | Marginal | 18–30°C | 12 kts ENE, g 19 | 0001–0400L (Marginal, 5 h) ☾; 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾ | 76% | 14% interpolated |
| Tue | 17 Nov 26 | Marginal | 17–30°C | 10 kts ENE, g 17 | 0001–0700L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾; 2000–2300L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾ | 73% | 21% interpolated |
| Wed | 18 Nov 26 | Marginal | 17–30°C | 10 kts ENE, g 16 | 0001–0500L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾; 1900–2300L (Marginal, 5 h) ☾ | 73% | 22% interpolated |
| Thu | 19 Nov 26 | Poor | 17–30°C | 10 kts ENE, g 17 | none | 71% | 18% interpolated |
| Fri | 20 Nov 26 | Very Poor | 18–30°C | 11 kts ENE, g 18 | none | 70% | 16% interpolated |
| Sat | 21 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 19–30°C | 13 kts ENE, g 21 | none | 70% | 16% interpolated |
| Sun | 22 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 18–30°C | 12 kts NE, g 21 | none | 69% | 16% interpolated |
| Mon | 23 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 18–30°C | 8 kts NE, g 14 | none | 68% | 9% interpolated |
| Tue | 24 Nov 26 | Poor | 17–31°C | 8 kts N, g 16 | none | 68% | |
| Wed | 25 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–31°C | 7 kts ESE, g 15 | none | 66% | |
| Thu | 26 Nov 26 | Marginal | 18–31°C | 6 kts ENE, g 13 | 0001–1000L (Marginal, 11 h) ☾ | 68% | |
| Fri | 27 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 19–31°C | 9 kts NE, g 15 | none | 69% |
Today — Sat 14 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: partly cloudy, winds up to 10 kts ENE, gusting 17 kts and temperatures 17–29°C. Flyable windows: 1900–2300L (Marginal, 5 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L.
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | C | F | F | E |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A |
| Cloud / ceiling | G | G | G | F |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | A | A | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 19°C | Overcast (97%) | 3 kts E | - | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 97% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (56%) | 2 kts E | 4 kts | 1023 | E - Poor | cloud 56% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Overcast (97%) | 1 kts E | 3 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 97% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20°C | Overcast (99%) | 2 kts ENE | 3 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 99% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–21)°C | Overcast (98%) | 3 (spread 3–4) kts E | 5 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 98%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19 (spread 17–21)°C | Cloudy (89%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts E | 7 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 89%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17 (spread 16–17)°C | Cloudy (89%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts E | 9 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 89%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 17°C | Cloudy (71%) | 8 kts ENE | 11 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 71%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1023 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 22 (spread 21–22)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 10 (spread 10–11) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1025 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 24 (spread 23–24)°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 10 kts ENE | 16 kts | 1025 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1025 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 28 (spread 27–28)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1025 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 28°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1024 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 29°C | Clear (12%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1023 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1022 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 28°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 26 (spread 26–27)°C | Cloudy (70%) | 10 kts ENE | 14 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 70%
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 24 (spread 24–25)°C | Cloudy (65%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | cloud 65%
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 23 (spread 21–25)°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 21–25)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts E | 9 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 22. | 2100 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Clear (7%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts E | 9 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 23. | 2200 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (5%) | 7 kts E | 9 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts E | 9 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 73% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 8% of readings interpolated · first light 0556L · last light 1821L · Moon 23 % illuminated, rises 10:30, sets 22:16.
Tomorrow — Sun 15 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 11 kts ENE, gusting 19 kts and temperatures 17–30°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0600L (Marginal, 7 h) and 1900–2300L (Marginal, 5 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall an improvement on the previous day.
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | D | G | G | E |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A |
| Cloud / ceiling | A | A | A | A |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | A | A | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1023 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 18–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 19 (spread 17–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts E | 11 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17 (spread 16–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts E | 11 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 17–19)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts E | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1023 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–12) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1025 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 11 (spread 9–13) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1025 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (0%) | 11 (spread 10–13) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1025 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Clear (0%) | 11 (spread 11–12) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1024 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1023 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 29°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts E | 9 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 22. | 2100 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts E | 9 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 23. | 2200 | 22 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts E | 8 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 78% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 10% of readings interpolated · first light 0556L · last light 1821L · Moon 31 % illuminated, rises 11:15, sets 23:05.
Extended Outlook
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | G | F | F | F | G | G | G | F | F | F | E | F |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A | · | · | · | · | · | A | A | · |
| Cloud / ceiling | A | A | B | E | F | E | G | G | D | B | F | G |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A |
| Overall | G | F | F | F | G | G | G | G | F | F | F | G |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
Mon 16 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 12 kts ENE, gusting 19 kts and temperatures 18–30°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0400L (Marginal, 5 h) and 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 20–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 18–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18 (spread 17–19)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 21°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 11 kts ENE | 18 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 12 kts ENE | 19 kts | 1023 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 12 kts ENE | 19 kts | 1023 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Clear (0%) | 11 (spread 11–12) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1023 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 10–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 10–11) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 28°C | Clear (0%) | 9 kts ENE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 20. | 1900 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 5 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts ENE | 5 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 76% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 14% of readings interpolated · first light 0557L · last light 1821L · Moon 40 % illuminated, rises 11:57, sets 23:53.
Tue 17 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 10 kts ENE, gusting 17 kts and temperatures 17–30°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0700L (Marginal, 8 h) and 2000–2300L (Marginal, 4 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 20–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 kts ENE | 7 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Clear (0%) | 8 kts ENE | 11 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 15 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 17 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 27°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 22–25)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 22. | 2100 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 23. | 2200 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 73% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 21% of readings interpolated · first light 0557L · last light 1821L · Moon 50 % illuminated, rises 12:37.
Wed 18 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 10 kts ENE, gusting 16 kts and temperatures 17–30°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0500L (Marginal, 6 h) and 1900–2300L (Marginal, 5 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–7) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 17–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 19 (spread 17–21)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17°C | Clear (2%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (4%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Clear (4%) | 8 (spread 7–10) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 23°C | Clear (5%) | 9 (spread 7–11) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 25°C | Clear (6%) | 10 (spread 8–12) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (6%) | 9 (spread 8–12) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Clear (5%) | 10 (spread 8–12) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 30°C | Clear (5%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Clear (9%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 28°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Clear (10%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 24 (spread 22–26)°C | Clear (7%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 21–25)°C | Clear (5%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 22. | 2100 | 22 (spread 21–22)°C | Clear (4%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 23. | 2200 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 73% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 22% of readings interpolated · first light 0557L · last light 1821L · Moon 60 % illuminated, rises 13:16, sets 00:40.
Thu 19 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 10 kts ENE, gusting 17 kts and temperatures 17–30°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (4%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 17–22)°C | Clear (5%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 18–21)°C | Clear (9%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17°C | Clear (12%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 23°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 25 (spread 23–27)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 22–26)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 23 (spread 21–25)°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 22 (spread 21–25)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 50% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 21 (spread 20–24)°C | Partly cloudy (56%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | cloud 56% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 71% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 18% of readings interpolated · first light 0558L · last light 1821L · Moon 69 % illuminated, rises 13:54, sets 01:27.
Fri 20 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Very Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 11 kts ENE, gusting 18 kts and temperatures 18–30°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 20–23)°C | Cloudy (60%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | cloud 60% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Cloudy (64%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | cloud 64% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | cloud 57% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 21 (spread 19–22)°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 48% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (6%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Clear (7%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 10. | 0900 | 22 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (7%) | 9 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Clear (7%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (7%) | 10 kts ENE | 16 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Clear (8%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Clear (6%) | 11 (spread 11–12) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Clear (6%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (4%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (2%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 27°C | Clear (3%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Clear (4%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 20. | 1900 | 25 (spread 23–27)°C | Clear (3%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Clear (5%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 23 (spread 22–25)°C | Clear (6%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 23. | 2200 | 22 (spread 21–25)°C | Clear (6%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Clear (7%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
Confidence: 70% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 16% of readings interpolated · first light 0558L · last light 1821L · Moon 79 % illuminated, rises 14:34, sets 02:15.
Sat 21 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: mostly clear, winds up to 13 kts ENE, gusting 21 kts and temperatures 19–30°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Clear (9%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Clear (9%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (11%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (11%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 21 (spread 21–22)°C | Clear (11%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Clear (9%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (7%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (5%) | 10 (spread 10–11) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 11 (spread 10–11) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 10. | 0900 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 11 (spread 11–12) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 12 (spread 11–13) kts ENE | 20 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 25–28)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 12 (spread 12–13) kts ENE | 20 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 13 (spread 13–14) kts ENE | 21 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 30 (spread 29–31)°C | Partly cloudy (53%) | 13 (spread 12–14) kts ENE | 21 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, strong wind, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 13 (spread 12–13) kts ENE | 21 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Partly cloudy (43%) | 12 (spread 11–13) kts ENE | 20 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 20 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Clear (12%) | 7 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 23 (spread 22–25)°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 22 (spread 22–25)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 70% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 16% of readings interpolated · first light 0558L · last light 1821L · Moon 87 % illuminated, rises 15:16, sets 03:05.
Sun 22 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: partly cloudy, winds up to 12 kts NE, gusting 21 kts and temperatures 18–30°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 22–24)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 6 kts ENE | 15 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Partly cloudy (54%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Cloudy (63%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | cloud 63% · gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18 (spread 17–19)°C | Cloudy (71%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 71% · gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 17–19)°C | Cloudy (78%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 78% · gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Cloudy (76%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 76% · gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 10. | 0900 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Cloudy (74%) | 11 (spread 10–13) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 74% · gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Cloudy (70%) | 11 (spread 10–13) kts NE | 18 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 70% · gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 26 (spread 25–27)°C | Cloudy (64%) | 11 (spread 10–13) kts NE | 18 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (58%) | 12 (spread 11–13) kts NE | 18 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, strong wind, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 30 (spread 29–31)°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 11 (spread 11–13) kts NE | 18 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Partly cloudy (46%) | 11 (spread 11–12) kts NE | 17 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts NE | 21 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 11 (spread 10–11) kts NE | 21 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 10 (spread 10–11) kts NE | 21 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts NE | 21 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 20. | 1900 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 20 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 21. | 2000 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 20 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 22. | 2100 | 23 (spread 22–25)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 19 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 22 (spread 22–24)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 17 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 69% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 16% of readings interpolated · first light 0559L · last light 1821L · Moon 93 % illuminated, rises 16:02, sets 03:58.
Mon 23 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: partly cloudy, winds up to 8 kts NE, gusting 14 kts and temperatures 18–30°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1021 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Partly cloudy (46%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 46% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 11. | 1000 | 24 (spread 24–25)°C | Cloudy (60%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 12 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | cloud 60% · gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 26 (spread 26–27)°C | Cloudy (73%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NE | 12 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 73% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Cloudy (85%) | 8 (spread 6–10) kts NE | 12 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 85% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Overcast (93%) | 7 (spread 6–10) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 93% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Cloudy (88%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 88% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 29°C | Cloudy (81%) | 8 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 81% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 28°C | Cloudy (71%) | 7 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 71% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 27°C | Partly cloudy (59%) | 7 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | cloud 59% · gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (47%) | 6 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 47% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 24°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 5 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 23°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 5 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 22. | 2100 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 5 kts NE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 21°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 5 kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 21°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 5 kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 68% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 9% of readings interpolated · first light 0559L · last light 1822L · Moon 98 % illuminated, rises 16:54, sets 04:56.
Tue 24 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 8 kts N, gusting 16 kts and temperatures 17–31°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall an improvement on the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 3 kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust spread +5 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 21°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 3 kts E | 7 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 3 kts E | 6 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 3 kts E | 7 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 3 kts E | 6 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 3 kts E | 5 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 44% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17°C | Partly cloudy (47%) | 5 kts E | 4 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 47% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 5 kts E | 5 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 48% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (45%) | 5 kts E | 5 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 45% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 5 kts E | 7 kts | 1021 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 5 kts ENE | 8 kts | 1021 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 27°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 5 kts NNE | 8 kts | 1022 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 30°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 6 kts N | 9 kts | 1021 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 14. | 1300 | 31°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 7 kts N | 9 kts | 1022 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 15. | 1400 | 31°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 7 kts N | 12 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 7 kts N | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 8 kts N | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 28°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 8 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 26°C | Clear (12%) | 7 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 24°C | Clear (12%) | 6 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 23°C | Clear (12%) | 6 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 23°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 6 kts NE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 22°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 6 kts NE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 21°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 5 kts ENE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 68% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0600L · last light 1822L · Moon 100 % illuminated, rises 17:53, sets 05:59.
Wed 25 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 7 kts ESE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 18–31°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 3 kts E | 11 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 2. | 0100 | 21°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 4 kts E | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 21°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 4 kts ESE | 10 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 20°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 4 kts ESE | 11 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 20°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 kts ESE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 20°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 kts ESE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 7 kts ESE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 7 kts ESE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 7 kts ESE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 22°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 7 kts ESE | 12 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 25°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 7 kts ESE | 11 kts | 1021 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 12. | 1100 | 27°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 kts ESE | 10 kts | 1022 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 7 kts ESE | 10 kts | 1021 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 14. | 1300 | 31°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 7 kts ESE | 12 kts | 1022 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 31°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 6 kts ESE | 12 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 6 kts ESE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 29°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 kts SE | 14 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 28°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 kts SE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 26°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 6 kts SSE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 25°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 6 kts SSE | 12 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 24°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 5 kts SSE | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 22. | 2100 | 23°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 5 kts SSE | 10 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 22°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 5 kts SSE | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 4 kts SE | 8 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 66% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0600L · last light 1822L · Moon 99 % illuminated, rises 18:57, sets 07:06.
Thu 26 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: partly cloudy, winds up to 6 kts ENE, gusting 13 kts and temperatures 18–31°C. Flyable windows: 0001–1000L (Marginal, 11 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall an improvement on the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 2 kts ESE | 6 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 2 kts ESE | 5 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 21°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 3 kts ESE | 5 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 21°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 3 kts ESE | 5 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 21°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 3 kts ESE | 5 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 20°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 3 kts ESE | 5 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 5 kts ESE | 6 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 5 kts ESE | 6 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 5 kts ESE | 7 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 23°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 5 kts ESE | 7 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 5 kts E | 7 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 50%
| ⚠ cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 27°C | Partly cloudy (58%) | 5 kts E | 8 kts | 1023 | E - Poor | cloud 58%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 30°C | Cloudy (64%) | 6 kts ENE | 9 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | cloud 64% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 14. | 1300 | 31°C | Cloudy (66%) | 6 kts ENE | 10 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | cloud 66% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 15. | 1400 | 31°C | Cloudy (61%) | 6 kts ENE | 10 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | cloud 61% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Partly cloudy (51%) | 6 kts NE | 11 kts | 1022 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 51% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 6 kts NE | 12 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 28°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 6 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 26°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 5 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 25°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 5 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 24°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 5 kts ENE | 12 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 23°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 5 kts ENE | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 23°C | Partly cloudy (43%) | 6 kts ENE | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 43% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (54%) | 6 kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | cloud 54% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 68% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0601L · last light 1822L · Moon 95 % illuminated, rises 20:05, sets 08:13.
Fri 27 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: cloudy, winds up to 9 kts NE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 19–31°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 23°C | Cloudy (64%) | 4 kts ENE | 7 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | cloud 64% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 22°C | Cloudy (71%) | 4 kts E | 7 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 71% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 22°C | Cloudy (73%) | 4 kts E | 7 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 73% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 21°C | Cloudy (72%) | 4 kts E | 7 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 72% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 21°C | Cloudy (70%) | 5 kts ENE | 6 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 70% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 21°C | Cloudy (68%) | 5 kts E | 7 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | cloud 68% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 19°C | Cloudy (66%) | 7 kts E | 8 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | cloud 66% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Cloudy (65%) | 7 kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | cloud 65% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 21°C | Cloudy (67%) | 7 kts ENE | 9 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | cloud 67% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 23°C | Cloudy (71%) | 7 kts ENE | 12 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 71% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 26°C | Cloudy (74%) | 7 kts ENE | 14 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 74% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 28°C | Cloudy (78%) | 7 kts ENE | 12 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 78% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 30°C | Cloudy (80%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1023 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 80% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 31°C | Cloudy (80%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1023 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 80% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 31°C | Cloudy (78%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 78% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Cloudy (73%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 73% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29°C | Cloudy (68%) | 9 kts NE | 13 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | cloud 68% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 28°C | Cloudy (60%) | 9 kts NE | 13 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | cloud 60% · gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 26°C | Partly cloudy (52%) | 8 kts NE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 8 kts NE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 24°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 22. | 2100 | 24°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 8 kts ENE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 23°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 8 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 22°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 8 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
Confidence: 69% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0601L · last light 1822L · Moon 88 % illuminated, rises 21:11, sets 09:17.
TAF
No current TAF — last issued 6 Nov 17:00Z, expired 8 Nov 00:00Z
Imagery
Source panel
| Source | Accuracy | Skill n | Temp °C | Wind kt | Visibility | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Met.no (Yr) | ≈ 1.1 | 2159 | 18–23 | 4–10 | — | 0 % |
| Open-Meteo | ▲ 1.1 | 6401 | 18–23 | 3–8 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| OpenWeather | ≈ 1.1 | 998 | 17–20 | 5–7 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| Tomorrow.io | ▲ 1.1 | 2834 | 18–23 | 4–10 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| Visual Crossing | ▲ 1.1 | 5635 | 17–23 | 4–8 | 10+ km | 0 % |
Each source's own raw values, min–max over the next 6 hours from the issue hour (before any weighting or bias correction). — means the source does not publish that metric in the window. Wide gaps between rows are real disagreement; the forecast above weights sources by measured skill.
Reading this report
Grades: each hour carries one grade, set by its WORST factor. The bands below are the thresholds in force for this report (Settings); a value in a band earns that grade, and "-" means the factor never produces that grade. Cloud is graded on the worse of cover and ceiling. The Driver column names the limiting factor with its value; open it in the web report for the boundary and sources.
| Grade | Cloud cover | Cloud ceiling | Visibility | Wind | Gust | Rain chance | Thunderstorm probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| A Excellent | ≤ 17.1% | ≥ 30000 ft | ≥ 8000 m | < 3 kt | < 3 kt | < 5% | 0% |
| B Good | 17.1–34.3% | 26000–30000 ft | 6666.7–8000 m | 3–6 kt | 3–6 kt | 5–10% | - |
| C Fair | 34.3–42.9% | 24000–26000 ft | 5333.3–6666.7 m | 6–9 kt | 6–9 kt | 10–15% | - |
| D Marginal | 42.9–51.4% | 22000–24000 ft | 4000–5333.3 m | 9–12 kt | 9–12 kt | 15–20% | >0–15% |
| E Poor | 51.4–60% | 16000–22000 ft | 2666.7–4000 m | 12–15 kt | 12–15 kt | 20–25% | 15–30% |
| F Very Poor | 60–68.6% | 10000–16000 ft | 1333.3–2666.7 m | 15–18 kt | 15–18 kt | 25–30% | 30–60% |
| G Unacceptable | > 68.6% | < 10000 ft | < 1333.3 m | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 30% | > 60% |
Flight windows: a window is at least 2 consecutive hours graded Marginal or better; an hour with insufficient data never counts toward one. ☾ marks a window outside first-to-last light.
Time: hours are local time (WAT, UTC+1) unless suffixed Z, which is UTC (TAF, METAR and issue times). Local midnight is labelled 0001.
Units: temperature °C · wind and gusts knots · visibility metres (km in text) · cloud ceiling feet · cloud cover % · rain chance and thunderstorm probability % · QNH hPa (altimeter setting at the field) · CAPE J/kg. A figure like "28 (26–30)°C" gives the p10–p90 range; "spread" marks disagreement between sources.
Symbols: ▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations). ⚠ on a remark means a low-confidence hour; a ⚠ paragraph on the first page is a convective-warning or data-age advisory. ⚡ is lightning observed by satellite near the field (©EUMETSAT).
Hourly glyphs: the wind arrow points the way the air moves (a north wind is ↓, an east wind ←); cloud cover shows as ☀ ◔ ◑ ◕ ☁ (clear, few, scattered, broken, overcast); a shaded hour label is wholly before first light or after last light.
Terms: "No data" - no source forecast the hour, or a core group (cloud, visibility, wind) is missing and the hour could still be flyable; missing data is never given a good grade. "Low-confidence" - few or weak sources behind the load-bearing metrics; treat the grade as indicative. "Insufficient data" - too little to grade at all. "Estimated" (est.) - the value is derived, not reported by a source (dust visibility, cloud base, gusts); it is declared where used and weighted at half. "Derived" - an hour interpolated from a coarser (3-hourly or daily) source, weighted at half and never used to score accuracy.
Data provenance
| Source | Fetched (Z) | Age | Skill n | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) |
| Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov) | 14 Nov 03:20Z | 4 min | 287 | ≈ 1.0 |
| Foreca | 14 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 459 | ▲ 1.2 |
| Met.no (Yr) | 14 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 2159 | ≈ 1.1 |
| Open-Meteo | 14 Nov 03:20Z | 4 min | 6401 | ▲ 1.1 |
| OpenWeather | 14 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 998 | ≈ 1.1 |
| Tomorrow.io | 14 Nov 03:20Z | 3 min | 2834 | ▲ 1.1 |
| Visual Crossing | 14 Nov 03:19Z | 5 min | 5635 | ▲ 1.1 |
Corrections applied (detailed under Learned corrections on the first page): skill weighting, bias correction, hour-of-day bias, cloud-base estimate, probability calibration, fog risk, climatology bounds, skill blend.
How accurate have we been
Measured against observations (METAR/SYNOP), jos only. Verification table computed 2026-11-14. Mean absolute error (MAE): lower is better; "beats persistence" compares the best source with "it will stay as it is now" on the same hours.
| Metric | Best source | Best MAE | Typical MAE | Persistence MAE | Beats persistence by | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | openweather | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5.2 | - | 110 |
| Dew point (°C) | aifs | 2.3 | 5.6 | 2.6 | - | 67 |
| Wind speed (kt) | foreca | 3.1 | 4.0 | 2.8 | - | 72 |
| Visibility (m) | openmeteo | 564 | 762 | 1274 | 0 % | 680 |
| Cloud cover (%) | meteofrance | 25 | 48 | 10 | - | 507 |
Learned bias (forecast minus observed; positive = sources run high), mean over scored sources, by local time of day. These are corrected for before sources are averaged.
| Metric | Overall | Night | Morning | Afternoon | Evening | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | +0.5 | - | +0.8 | +0.1 | +0.8 | 7142 |
| Dew point (°C) | -4.2 | - | -4.9 | -3.4 | -3.1 | 6739 |
| Wind speed (kt) | -2.6 | - | -2.5 | -2.6 | -4.0 | 7076 |
Not yet available: Scores are decayed over the verification window (half-life 14 days); separate last-7-day and last-30-day windows are not stored. Bias is the current learned value; the history needed for a trend over time is not stored. Flight-window hit / bust / miss is not yet recorded.