Maiduguri — 14-Day Forecast
DNMA · issued 12 Nov 26 03:23Z
Sources used (8): ECMWF AIFS▲ 1.2 Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov)≈ 1.0 Foreca▽ 0.8 MetCheck▽ 0.8 Met.no (Yr)▲ 1.2 OpenWeather≈ 1.0 Tomorrow.io▲ 1.2 Visual Crossing≈ 1.0
▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations)
Thu12 Nov 26
EGGEDDDEFEEEEEEEEDGGGGDD
0400–0600L (Marginal, 3 h) ☾ 2200–2300L (Marginal, 2 h) ☾
77%
Fri13 Nov 26
DEDEDDDDDDDDEDDDDDDDDDDD
best window: 1300–2300L (Marginal, 11 h) ☾ 0400–1100L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾
81%
Sat14 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDDDDDEDDDDDEGGGDD
0001–1100L (Marginal, 12 h) ☾ 1300–1700L (Marginal, 5 h) 2200–2300L (Marginal, 2 h) ☾
79%
Sun15 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDDDEDDEEEDEEEGGED
0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾ 1100–1200L (Marginal, 2 h)
76%
Mon16 Nov 26
DDEDDDDEFEEEEEEEEEDDDDDD
0001–0100L (Marginal, 2 h) ☾ 0300–0600L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾ 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾
76%
Tue17 Nov 26
DEEEEGGGGFFEEEEEEEFGGFEF
no windows
68%
Wed18 Nov 26
GFFEEEGGGFFFEEEEEEEEEE··
no windows
66%
Thu19 Nov 26
··EEEGGGGFFEEEEEEEFEFFEE
no windows
65%
Fri20 Nov 26
EEE··EGGGFFFEEEEEFFGGGEF
no windows
65%
Sat21 Nov 26
EEEGGGGGGGGFFEEEFFGGGGGG
no windows
64%
Sun22 Nov 26
GGGGGGGGGGGGFGGFFFGGGFEE
no windows
53%
Mon23 Nov 26
EEEEGGGGGGFFEEEEEFFGGEEE
no windows
50%
Tue24 Nov 26
EFEFFGGGGFFE·····EGGGGGG
no windows
50%
Wed25 Nov 26
GFFGGGGGGGFE·····EGGGGGG
no windows
50%
A ExcellentB GoodC FairD MarginalE PoorF Very PoorG Unacceptable· No data
Best window (highest confidence, then grade, then length): Fri 13 Nov 26 1300–2300L (Marginal, 11 h) ☾, confidence 81%.
Learned corrections (METAR-verified): skill weighting — pooled all-field scores for 206; bias corrections — OpenWeather wind −4.5 kt, wttrin wind −4.1 kt, meteoblue dewpoint +3.0 °C, openmeteo dewpoint +3.0 °C, Met.no (Yr) dewpoint +3.0 °C, Foreca dewpoint +3.0 °C (+67 more); hour-of-day bias (local time, shrunk toward the all-hours bias) — OpenWeather afternoon wind −5.0 kt, wttrin evening wind −4.4 kt, wttrin afternoon wind −3.9 kt, OpenWeather evening wind −3.8 kt, OpenWeather night wind −3.7 kt, gfs afternoon wind −3.7 kt (+284 more); cloud base estimated as 410 ft per °C of dewpoint spread for sources that report no ceiling (≥60% cloud cover; flagged estimated, weighted ×0.5); probability calibration — rain chance: meteoblue, openmeteo, Foreca, MetCheck, OpenWeather, Visual Crossing, Tomorrow.io, wttrin, ecmwf, gfs, icon, ukmo, gem, ecmwfens; storm: openmeteo, Met.no (Yr), Foreca, OpenWeather, Visual Crossing, Tomorrow.io, wttrin, ecmwf, gfs, icon, meteofrance, Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov), ukmo, jma, gem, ecmwfens, ECMWF AIFS (each source's stated probability mapped to its verified frequency by an isotonic fit on ≥200 pairs, proven on the holdout); fog risk (n=1834): observed fog frequency by dewpoint spread, wind, local hour and season for the forecast conditions (shown from 10 %), proven on the holdout; plausibility bounds from ERA5 climatology 2016-2025 (mean ± 5 sd; screening only, not observed truth); skill blend 1 auto-tuned over 10431 holdout pairs (consensus beat the best single source, Tomorrow.io, by 15%); correction gates (newest-7-day holdout; pooled skill is always on) — regional skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); place skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); lead-time skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); small-sample skill shrinkage: off this week (did not improve holdout); bias correction: on (improved holdout by 22.8%); place bias: on (improved holdout by 9.6%); hour-of-day bias: on (improved holdout by 6.4%); QNH bias: on (improved holdout by 57.3%); gust estimates: off this week (did not improve holdout); cloud-base coefficient: off this week (insufficient holdout: 78 of 200 items); recent-form skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); probability calibration: on (improved holdout by 22.5%); nowcast anchor horizon: off this week (did not improve holdout); dust-visibility estimate: off this week (did not improve holdout); fog risk: on (improved holdout by 11.0%).
Outlook
| Day | Date | Outlook | Temp | Max wind | Flight windows | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| Thu | 12 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–35°C | 7 kts NE, g 21 | 0400–0600L (Marginal, 3 h) ☾; 2200–2300L (Marginal, 2 h) ☾ | 77% | 16% interpolated |
| Fri | 13 Nov 26 | Marginal | 16–34°C | 6 kts NNW, g 12 | 0400–1100L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾; 1300–2300L (Marginal, 11 h) ☾ | 81% | 18% interpolated |
| Sat | 14 Nov 26 | Marginal | 16–35°C | 6 kts NE, g 17 | 0001–1100L (Marginal, 12 h) ☾; 1300–1700L (Marginal, 5 h); 2200–2300L (Marginal, 2 h) ☾ | 79% | 23% interpolated |
| Sun | 15 Nov 26 | Marginal | 18–37°C | 7 kts NNE, g 17 | 0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾; 1100–1200L (Marginal, 2 h) | 76% | 30% interpolated |
| Mon | 16 Nov 26 | Marginal | 19–36°C | 7 kts NE, g 15 | 0001–0100L (Marginal, 2 h) ☾; 0300–0600L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾; 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾ | 76% | 32% interpolated |
| Tue | 17 Nov 26 | Poor | 19–36°C | 8 kts NNE, g 18 | none | 68% | 47% interpolated |
| Wed | 18 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–36°C | 8 kts NE, g 15 | none | 66% | 47% interpolated |
| Thu | 19 Nov 26 | Poor | 19–36°C | 9 kts NE, g 18 | none | 65% | 42% interpolated |
| Fri | 20 Nov 26 | Poor | 20–36°C | 10 kts NE, g 17 | none | 65% | 42% interpolated |
| Sat | 21 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 19–36°C | 11 kts NE, g 23 | none | 64% | 36% interpolated |
| Sun | 22 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 19–36°C | 12 kts NE, g 27 | none | 53% | 6% interpolated |
| Mon | 23 Nov 26 | Poor | 19–36°C | 9 kts NE, g 22 | none | 50% | |
| Tue | 24 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 19–36°C | 8 kts NNE, g 23 | none | 50% | |
| Wed | 25 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 19–36°C | 8 kts NE, g 26 | none | 50% |
Today — Thu 12 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 7 kts NE, gusting 21 kts and temperatures 18–35°C. Flyable windows: 0400–0600L (Marginal, 3 h) and 2200–2300L (Marginal, 2 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L.
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | G | F | E | G |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A |
| Cloud / ceiling | A | C | E | C |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22°C | Clear (1%) | 4 kts NE | 12 kts | 1017 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +8 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 22°C | Clear (5%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 14 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 21°C | Clear (4%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 14 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (2%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +8 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (12%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 10 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 18 (spread 17–19)°C | Clear (3%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 9 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 7. | 0600 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (7%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (11%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust spread +7 kt
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (4%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1017 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 28 (spread 27–28)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NE | 14 kts | 1017 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 34 (spread 33–34)°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 13 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Partly cloudy (47%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NE | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Partly cloudy (45%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | cloud 57% · gust 12 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 34 (spread 33–34)°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 32 (spread 31–32)°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 6 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts N | 18 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 26 (spread 25–27)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 21 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +15 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 20 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +14 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 18 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 22 (spread 22–23)°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 77% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 16% of readings interpolated · first light 0541L · last light 1802L · Moon 9 % illuminated, rises 08:38, sets 20:11.
Tomorrow — Fri 13 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: mostly clear, winds up to 6 kts NNW, gusting 12 kts and temperatures 16–34°C. Flyable windows: 0400–1100L (Marginal, 8 h) and 1300–2300L (Marginal, 11 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall an improvement on the previous day.
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | E | D | E | D |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A |
| Cloud / ceiling | E | A | B | A |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 18 (spread 17–19)°C | Partly cloudy (55%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | cloud 55%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 17 (spread 16–19)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 17 (spread 16–17)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 16 (spread 16–17)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 7 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NE | 9 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 9. | 0800 | 21°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 9 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 24°C | Clear (12%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Clear (12%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Clear (11%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 33°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 4 (spread 1–5) kts NE | 11 kts | 1017 | E - Poor | gust spread +7 kt
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 14. | 1300 | 34°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 2 (spread 0–4) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust spread +6 kt
| thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 34°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 2 (spread 0–4) kts N | 8 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust spread +6 kt
| thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 2 (spread 0–4) kts N | 7 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust spread +5 kt
| thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Clear (7%) | 2 (spread 0–4) kts N | 6 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32 (spread 31–32)°C | Clear (6%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts N | 5 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Clear (7%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts N | 7 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 26 (spread 25–27)°C | Clear (8%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 10 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Clear (4%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 10 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 22. | 2100 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 10 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Clear (3%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNW | 10 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (4%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NNW | 9 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 81% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 18% of readings interpolated · first light 0541L · last light 1802L · Moon 15 % illuminated, rises 09:29, sets 21:03.
Extended Outlook
| Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | G | G | F | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Cloud / ceiling | A | A | A | A | B | B | C | E | G | D | C | C |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Overall | G | G | F | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
Sat 14 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 6 kts NE, gusting 17 kts and temperatures 16–35°C. Flyable windows: 0001–1100L (Marginal, 12 h), 1300–1700L (Marginal, 5 h) and 2200–2300L (Marginal, 2 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (5%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts N | 9 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 2. | 0100 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (5%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 7 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (5%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts N | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 17 (spread 16–17)°C | Clear (6%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts N | 7 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 16 (spread 16–17)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 3 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 16°C | Clear (2%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 16 (spread 16–17)°C | Clear (2%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (4%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 21°C | Clear (2%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 9 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 25 (spread 24–25)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 kts NE | 11 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Clear (2%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (2%) | 6 kts NE | 11 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 12 kts | 1017 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 35°C | Clear (2%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NE | 10 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Clear (1%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NE | 9 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 35°C | Clear (1%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust spread +5 kt
| thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 35°C | Clear (1%) | 3 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust spread +5 kt
| thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 33 (spread 32–34)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 10 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 14 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +9 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27 (spread 25–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 17 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 17 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 15 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +9 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 10 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 23°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 8 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 79% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 23% of readings interpolated · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 23 % illuminated, rises 10:17, sets 21:54.
Sun 15 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 7 kts NNE, gusting 17 kts and temperatures 18–37°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) and 1100–1200L (Marginal, 2 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 8 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 7 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 8 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 7 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 18°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts N | 6 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 9. | 0800 | 22 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 10 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts NE | 12 kts | 1017 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 31 (spread 30–31)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 kts NE | 11 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 35 (spread 35–36)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 37 (spread 36–37)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 37 (spread 36–37)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 36 (spread 36–37)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 36 (spread 35–37)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 34 (spread 33–35)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 30 (spread 29–31)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts N | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 17 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 16 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
Confidence: 76% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 30% of readings interpolated · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 31 % illuminated, rises 11:01, sets 22:45.
Mon 16 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 7 kts NE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 19–36°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0100L (Marginal, 2 h), 0300–0600L (Marginal, 4 h) and 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 21–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 10 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +8 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust spread +7 kt
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 35 (spread 34–36)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 36–37)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 36°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 36°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Clear (2%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 34 (spread 33–34)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 30 (spread 29–31)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts N | 9 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 20. | 1900 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 10 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 8 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25 (spread 24–25)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 8 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 11 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
Confidence: 76% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 32% of readings interpolated · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 40 % illuminated, rises 11:43, sets 23:33.
Tue 17 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: clear, winds up to 8 kts NNE, gusting 18 kts and temperatures 19–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 21–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 11 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +8 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (1%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (1%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 30°C | Clear (1%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (2%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 36–37)°C | Clear (3%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 35 (spread 35–36)°C | Clear (2%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 35 (spread 35–36)°C | Clear (2%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (2%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 33 (spread 32–33)°C | Clear (2%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (4%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts N | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 28 (spread 27–28)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 5–7) kts N | 15 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 kts N | 16 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 14 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24 (spread 24–25)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 14 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 68% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 47% of readings interpolated · first light 0543L · last light 1801L · Moon 50 % illuminated, rises 12:22.
Wed 18 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 8 kts NE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 18–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 15 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 4–7) kts N | 14 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 14 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts N | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (4%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Clear (4%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Clear (6%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25°C | Clear (7%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 28°C | Clear (8%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 30°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 8 (spread 6–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 35 (spread 35–36)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 33 (spread 32–33)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts N | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26 (spread 25–27)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (11%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +6 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24 (spread 24–25)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 11 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
Confidence: 66% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 47% of readings interpolated · first light 0543L · last light 1801L · Moon 60 % illuminated, rises 12:59, sets 00:21.
Thu 19 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: clear, winds up to 9 kts NE, gusting 18 kts and temperatures 19–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 11 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (4%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (5%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (5%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (9%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20 (spread 18–20)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (12%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts NNE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (8%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts NE | 17 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 28°C | Clear (3%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (4%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (5%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 35–37)°C | Clear (4%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Clear (7%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 35°C | Clear (7%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (9%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32 (spread 32–33)°C | Clear (8%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (8%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 28 (spread 26–29)°C | Clear (8%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 27 (spread 25–28)°C | Clear (6%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26 (spread 25–27)°C | Clear (5%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Clear (10%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 65% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 42% of readings interpolated · first light 0544L · last light 1801L · Moon 69 % illuminated, rises 13:37, sets 01:09.
Fri 20 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: clear, winds up to 10 kts NE, gusting 17 kts and temperatures 20–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 20–23)°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 19–22)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 5 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (9%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NE | 17 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 23°C | Clear (6%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts NE | 17 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (4%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 16 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (2%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Clear (3%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (3%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 35–37)°C | Clear (2%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 35 (spread 35–36)°C | Clear (3%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (2%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts NE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Clear (1%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Clear (1%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (1%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27 (spread 26–29)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 27 (spread 25–28)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26 (spread 25–27)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 25 (spread 24–25)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 65% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 42% of readings interpolated · first light 0544L · last light 1802L · Moon 79 % illuminated, rises 14:16, sets 01:57.
Sat 21 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: mostly clear, winds up to 11 kts NE, gusting 23 kts and temperatures 19–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 19 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20 (spread 18–21)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 22 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 22 kt · gust spread +17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 23 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 23 kt · gust spread +18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (10%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 23 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 23 kt · gust spread +15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 9 kts NE | 20 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 11 (spread 10–11) kts NE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 11 (spread 10–11) kts NE | 16 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | cloud 57% · gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 36°C | Partly cloudy (53%) | 10 kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | cloud 53% · gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 35°C | Partly cloudy (52%) | 10 kts NE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | cloud 52% · gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (54%) | 10 kts NE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Partly cloudy (43%) | 9 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 8 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 7 kts NNE | 19 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 6 kts NNE | 20 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 6 kts NNE | 19 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 6 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 6 kts NNE | 20 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 64% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 36% of readings interpolated · first light 0544L · last light 1802L · Moon 87 % illuminated, rises 14:57, sets 02:48.
Sun 22 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: partly cloudy, winds up to 12 kts NE, gusting 27 kts and temperatures 19–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 6 kts NNE | 22 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 22 kt · gust spread +15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 6 kts NNE | 21 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 6 kts NNE | 23 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 23 kt · gust spread +17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 6 kts NNE | 24 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 24 kt · gust spread +18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Cloudy (64%) | 6 kts NNE | 24 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 24 kt · gust spread +18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (43%) | 6 kts NNE | 27 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 27 kt · gust spread +20 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 6 kts NNE | 27 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 27 kt · gust spread +21 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (46%) | 6 kts NNE | 27 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 27 kt · gust spread +21 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 23°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 8 kts NNE | 25 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 25 kt · gust spread +17 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (51%) | 10 kts NE | 23 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 23 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 28°C | Partly cloudy (55%) | 11 kts NE | 21 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 30°C | Cloudy (60%) | 12 kts NE | 19 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, cloud cover, strong wind, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Cloudy (66%) | 11 kts NE | 17 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | cloud 66% · gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Cloudy (70%) | 11 kts NE | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 70% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Cloudy (70%) | 11 kts NE | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 70% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Cloudy (68%) | 10 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | cloud 68% · gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 33°C | Cloudy (65%) | 10 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | cloud 65% · gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 31°C | Cloudy (61%) | 9 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | cloud 61% · gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 28°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 7 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 26°C | Partly cloudy (53%) | 6 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Partly cloudy (51%) | 6 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 5 kts N | 14 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 5 kts N | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 23°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 5 kts N | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 53% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 6% of readings interpolated · first light 0545L · last light 1802L · Moon 93 % illuminated, rises 15:42, sets 03:42.
Mon 23 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: partly cloudy, winds up to 9 kts NE, gusting 22 kts and temperatures 19–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall an improvement on the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Partly cloudy (46%) | 6 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (43%) | 6 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 6 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 6 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 5 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 5 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 19°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 5 kts NNE | 20 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 5 kts NNE | 22 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 22 kt · gust spread +16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 6 kts NNE | 21 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 8 kts NE | 19 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 28°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 9 kts NE | 17 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 9 kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 9 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 9 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 9 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 9 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 33°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 9 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 31°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 8 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 28°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 8 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 26°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 7 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 6 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 6 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 5 kts N | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 23°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 5 kts N | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 50% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0545L · last light 1802L · Moon 98 % illuminated, rises 16:34, sets 04:41.
Tue 24 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: mostly clear, winds up to 8 kts NNE, gusting 23 kts and temperatures 19–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 6 kts N | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 19°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 5 kts N | 14 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 5 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 5 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 19°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 4 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 4 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 6 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 7 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 28°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 8 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 30°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 8 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 7 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 7 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 7 kts NNE | - | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 7 kts NNE | - | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 33°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 7 kts NNE | - | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 7 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 7 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 7 kts NNE | 22 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 22 kt · gust spread +15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 7 kts NNE | 23 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 23 kt · gust spread +16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 7 kts NNE | 23 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 23 kt · gust spread +16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 6 kts N | 22 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 22 kt · gust spread +16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 6 kts N | 20 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 50% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0546L · last light 1802L · Moon 100 % illuminated, rises 17:31, sets 05:45.
Wed 25 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: mostly clear, winds up to 8 kts NE, gusting 26 kts and temperatures 19–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 6 kts N | 17 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 kts N | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 6 kts N | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 5 kts N | 15 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 5 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 5 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 5 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 20°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 5 kts NNE | 19 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 6 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 7 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 28°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 8 kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 30°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 6 kts NE | - | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 6 kts NNE | - | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 36°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 6 kts NNE | - | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 35°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 7 kts NNE | - | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 7 kts NNE | - | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 7 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +6 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 8 kts NNE | 20 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 28°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 8 kts NNE | 25 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 25 kt · gust spread +17 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 27°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 7 kts NNE | 26 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 26 kt · gust spread +19 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 7 kts NNE | 25 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 25 kt · gust spread +19 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 6 kts N | 24 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 24 kt · gust spread +18 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 6 kts N | 22 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 22 kt · gust spread +16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 50% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0546L · last light 1802L · Moon 99 % illuminated, rises 18:35, sets 06:52.
TAF
| Valid (day hh Z) | Type | Wind | Visibility | Weather | Cloud |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) |
| 11 18Z - 12 24Z | prevailing | wind 060 deg 6 kt | 10 km or more | none | no significant cloud |
Decoded for reading; the raw TAF below is authoritative.
TAF DNMA 111700Z 1118/1224 06006KT CAVOK
Imagery
Source panel
| Source | Accuracy | Skill n | Temp °C | Wind kt | Visibility | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| ECMWF AIFS | ▲ 1.2 | 1113 | 20–24 | 4–5 | — | 0 % |
| Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov) | ≈ 1.0 | 1707 | — | 6 | 10+ km | — |
| MetCheck | ▽ 0.8 | 6967 | 20–28 | 5–7 | — | — |
| Met.no (Yr) | ▲ 1.2 | 4607 | 19–26 | 4–6 | — | 0 % |
| OpenWeather | ≈ 1.0 | 2161 | 21–25 | 6–8 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| Tomorrow.io | ▲ 1.2 | 5976 | 19–26 | 4–5 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| Visual Crossing | ≈ 1.0 | 12454 | 18–26 | 7–9 | 10+ km | 0 % |
Each source's own raw values, min–max over the next 6 hours from the issue hour (before any weighting or bias correction). — means the source does not publish that metric in the window. Wide gaps between rows are real disagreement; the forecast above weights sources by measured skill.
Reading this report
Grades: each hour carries one grade, set by its WORST factor. The bands below are the thresholds in force for this report (Settings); a value in a band earns that grade, and "-" means the factor never produces that grade. Cloud is graded on the worse of cover and ceiling. The Driver column names the limiting factor with its value; open it in the web report for the boundary and sources.
| Grade | Cloud cover | Cloud ceiling | Visibility | Wind | Gust | Rain chance | Thunderstorm probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| A Excellent | ≤ 17.1% | ≥ 30000 ft | ≥ 8000 m | < 3 kt | < 3 kt | < 5% | 0% |
| B Good | 17.1–34.3% | 26000–30000 ft | 6666.7–8000 m | 3–6 kt | 3–6 kt | 5–10% | - |
| C Fair | 34.3–42.9% | 24000–26000 ft | 5333.3–6666.7 m | 6–9 kt | 6–9 kt | 10–15% | - |
| D Marginal | 42.9–51.4% | 22000–24000 ft | 4000–5333.3 m | 9–12 kt | 9–12 kt | 15–20% | >0–15% |
| E Poor | 51.4–60% | 16000–22000 ft | 2666.7–4000 m | 12–15 kt | 12–15 kt | 20–25% | 15–30% |
| F Very Poor | 60–68.6% | 10000–16000 ft | 1333.3–2666.7 m | 15–18 kt | 15–18 kt | 25–30% | 30–60% |
| G Unacceptable | > 68.6% | < 10000 ft | < 1333.3 m | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 30% | > 60% |
Flight windows: a window is at least 2 consecutive hours graded Marginal or better; an hour with insufficient data never counts toward one. ☾ marks a window outside first-to-last light.
Time: hours are local time (WAT, UTC+1) unless suffixed Z, which is UTC (TAF, METAR and issue times). Local midnight is labelled 0001.
Units: temperature °C · wind and gusts knots · visibility metres (km in text) · cloud ceiling feet · cloud cover % · rain chance and thunderstorm probability % · QNH hPa (altimeter setting at the field) · CAPE J/kg. A figure like "28 (26–30)°C" gives the p10–p90 range; "spread" marks disagreement between sources.
Symbols: ▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations). ⚠ on a remark means a low-confidence hour; a ⚠ paragraph on the first page is a convective-warning or data-age advisory. ⚡ is lightning observed by satellite near the field (©EUMETSAT).
Hourly glyphs: the wind arrow points the way the air moves (a north wind is ↓, an east wind ←); cloud cover shows as ☀ ◔ ◑ ◕ ☁ (clear, few, scattered, broken, overcast); a shaded hour label is wholly before first light or after last light.
Terms: "No data" - no source forecast the hour, or a core group (cloud, visibility, wind) is missing and the hour could still be flyable; missing data is never given a good grade. "Low-confidence" - few or weak sources behind the load-bearing metrics; treat the grade as indicative. "Insufficient data" - too little to grade at all. "Estimated" (est.) - the value is derived, not reported by a source (dust visibility, cloud base, gusts); it is declared where used and weighted at half. "Derived" - an hour interpolated from a coarser (3-hourly or daily) source, weighted at half and never used to score accuracy.
Data provenance
| Source | Fetched (Z) | Age | Skill n | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) |
| ECMWF AIFS | 12 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 1113 | ▲ 1.2 |
| Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov) | 12 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 1707 | ≈ 1.0 |
| Foreca | 12 Nov 03:18Z | 5 min | 410 | ▽ 0.8 |
| MetCheck | 12 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 6967 | ▽ 0.8 |
| Met.no (Yr) | 12 Nov 03:19Z | 3 min | 4607 | ▲ 1.2 |
| OpenWeather | 12 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 2161 | ≈ 1.0 |
| Tomorrow.io | 12 Nov 03:18Z | 5 min | 5976 | ▲ 1.2 |
| Visual Crossing | 12 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 12454 | ≈ 1.0 |
Corrections applied (detailed under Learned corrections on the first page): skill weighting, bias correction, hour-of-day bias, cloud-base estimate, probability calibration, fog risk, climatology bounds, skill blend.
How accurate have we been
Measured against observations (METAR/SYNOP), maiduguri only. Verification table computed 2026-11-12. Mean absolute error (MAE): lower is better; "beats persistence" compares the best source with "it will stay as it is now" on the same hours.
| Metric | Best source | Best MAE | Typical MAE | Persistence MAE | Beats persistence by | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | meteoblue | 1.5 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 81 % | 2039 |
| Dew point (°C) | aifs | 1.7 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 41 % | 312 |
| Wind speed (kt) | aifs | 1.7 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 34 % | 215 |
| Visibility (m) | ukmo | 445 | 542 | 1270 | 64 % | 2039 |
| Cloud cover (%) | accuweather | 10 | 55 | 10 | - | 27 |
Learned bias (forecast minus observed; positive = sources run high), mean over scored sources, by local time of day. These are corrected for before sources are averaged.
| Metric | Overall | Night | Morning | Afternoon | Evening | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | +0.4 | +1.7 | +1.2 | -0.9 | +0.0 | 40262 |
| Dew point (°C) | -6.3 | -6.3 | -6.0 | -6.7 | -6.4 | 35108 |
| Wind speed (kt) | +0.2 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.6 | -0.0 | 25037 |
Not yet available: Scores are decayed over the verification window (half-life 14 days); separate last-7-day and last-30-day windows are not stored. Bias is the current learned value; the history needed for a trend over time is not stored. Flight-window hit / bust / miss is not yet recorded.