Jos — 14-Day Forecast
DNJO · issued 12 Nov 26 03:23Z
Sources used (9): Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov)≈ 1.0 Foreca▲ 1.2 MetCheck▽ 0.8 Met.no (Yr)▲ 1.1 Open-Meteo▲ 1.1 OpenWeather≈ 1.1 Tomorrow.io▲ 1.1 UK Met Office▲ 1.1 Visual Crossing▲ 1.1
▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations)
Thu12 Nov 26
·DDDDDDDDEEEEFFEEEFFDDDD
0100–0800L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾ 2000–2300L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾
77%
Fri13 Nov 26
DDDDDDDEGGGGEEDDDDDDDDDD
best window: 1400–2300L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾ 0001–0600L (Marginal, 7 h) ☾
82%
Sat14 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDDEEEEEEDDDDDDDDD
0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h) ☾ 1500–2300L (Marginal, 9 h) ☾
79%
Sun15 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDDEEFFEEEEEDDDDDD
0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h) ☾ 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾
78%
Mon16 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDEEFFFFFFEEDDDDDD
0001–0700L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾ 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾
78%
Tue17 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDDEFFFFFEEEDDDDDD
0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h) ☾ 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾
73%
Wed18 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDDDEEFFEEEEE·E···
0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾
70%
Thu19 Nov 26
·········EEEEEFFEFFE····
no windows
68%
Fri20 Nov 26
········EEFFFFGGFFFEFE·E
no windows
68%
Sat21 Nov 26
·····EEEFFFFFFFFFFFEEF··
no windows
67%
Sun22 Nov 26
·····EFFFFFFGGGGGEEEEEEE
no windows
69%
Mon23 Nov 26
EEEEEEEEEEEEEFFFFFF·····
no windows
69%
Tue24 Nov 26
···········EEEEEEE······
no windows
69%
Wed25 Nov 26
························
no windows
68%
A ExcellentB GoodC FairD MarginalE PoorF Very PoorG Unacceptable· No data
Best window (highest confidence, then grade, then length): Fri 13 Nov 26 1400–2300L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾, confidence 82%.
Learned corrections (METAR-verified): skill weighting — pooled all-field scores for 206; bias corrections — MetCheck wind +5.0 kt, jma wind +4.8 kt, meteoblue wind +4.0 kt, wttrin wind +3.2 kt, aifs wind +3.0 kt, meteoblue QNH −3.0 hPa (+67 more); hour-of-day bias (local time, shrunk toward the all-hours bias) — MetCheck afternoon wind +5.0 kt, MetCheck evening wind +5.0 kt, MetCheck morning wind +5.0 kt, jma afternoon wind +4.8 kt, jma morning wind +4.7 kt, meteoblue morning wind +3.9 kt (+284 more); cloud base estimated as 410 ft per °C of dewpoint spread for sources that report no ceiling (≥60% cloud cover; flagged estimated, weighted ×0.5); probability calibration — rain chance: meteoblue, Open-Meteo, Foreca, MetCheck, OpenWeather, Visual Crossing, Tomorrow.io, wttrin, ecmwf, gfs, icon, UK Met Office, gem, ecmwfens; storm: Open-Meteo, Met.no (Yr), Foreca, OpenWeather, Visual Crossing, Tomorrow.io, wttrin, ecmwf, gfs, icon, meteofrance, Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov), UK Met Office, jma, gem, ecmwfens, aifs (each source's stated probability mapped to its verified frequency by an isotonic fit on ≥200 pairs, proven on the holdout); fog risk (n=1140): observed fog frequency by dewpoint spread, wind, local hour and season for the forecast conditions (shown from 10 %), proven on the holdout; plausibility bounds from ERA5 climatology 2016-2025 (mean ± 5 sd; screening only, not observed truth); skill blend 1 auto-tuned over 10431 holdout pairs (consensus beat the best single source, Tomorrow.io, by 15%); correction gates (newest-7-day holdout; pooled skill is always on) — regional skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); place skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); lead-time skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); small-sample skill shrinkage: off this week (did not improve holdout); bias correction: on (improved holdout by 22.8%); place bias: on (improved holdout by 9.6%); hour-of-day bias: on (improved holdout by 6.4%); QNH bias: on (improved holdout by 57.3%); gust estimates: off this week (did not improve holdout); cloud-base coefficient: off this week (insufficient holdout: 78 of 200 items); recent-form skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); probability calibration: on (improved holdout by 22.5%); nowcast anchor horizon: off this week (did not improve holdout); dust-visibility estimate: off this week (did not improve holdout); fog risk: on (improved holdout by 11.0%).
Outlook
| Day | Date | Outlook | Temp | Max wind | Flight windows | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| Thu | 12 Nov 26 | Marginal | 17–29°C | 10 kts NNE, g 15 | 0100–0800L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾; 2000–2300L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾ | 77% | 6% interpolated |
| Fri | 13 Nov 26 | Marginal | 16–29°C | 8 kts N, g 11 | 0001–0600L (Marginal, 7 h) ☾; 1400–2300L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾ | 82% | 7% interpolated |
| Sat | 14 Nov 26 | Marginal | 16–29°C | 9 kts E, g 14 | 0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h) ☾; 1500–2300L (Marginal, 9 h) ☾ | 79% | 9% interpolated |
| Sun | 15 Nov 26 | Marginal | 17–30°C | 10 kts E, g 15 | 0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h) ☾; 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾ | 78% | 15% interpolated |
| Mon | 16 Nov 26 | Marginal | 18–30°C | 11 kts ENE, g 16 | 0001–0700L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾; 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾ | 78% | 16% interpolated |
| Tue | 17 Nov 26 | Marginal | 17–30°C | 10 kts ENE, g 16 | 0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h) ☾; 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾ | 73% | 22% interpolated |
| Wed | 18 Nov 26 | Marginal | 17–30°C | 10 kts ENE, g 15 | 0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾ | 70% | 24% interpolated |
| Thu | 19 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–30°C | 10 kts ENE, g 16 | none | 68% | 27% interpolated |
| Fri | 20 Nov 26 | Very Poor | 18–30°C | 12 kts E, g 18 | none | 68% | 28% interpolated |
| Sat | 21 Nov 26 | Very Poor | 18–30°C | 12 kts ENE, g 17 | none | 67% | 22% interpolated |
| Sun | 22 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–31°C | 11 kts ENE, g 18 | none | 69% | 3% interpolated |
| Mon | 23 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–30°C | 9 kts ENE, g 16 | none | 69% | |
| Tue | 24 Nov 26 | Poor | 17–31°C | 8 kts NE, g 14 | none | 69% | |
| Wed | 25 Nov 26 | – | 17–31°C | 6 kts NNE, g 11 | none | 68% |
Today — Thu 12 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: mostly clear, winds up to 10 kts NNE and temperatures 17–29°C. Flyable windows: 0100–0800L (Marginal, 8 h) and 2000–2300L (Marginal, 4 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L.
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | D | E | F | C |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A |
| Cloud / ceiling | B | C | E | F |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | A | A | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Clear (7%) | 5 kts E | 9 kts | 1023 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 17–23)°C | Clear (8%) | 3 (spread 1–5) kts E | 6 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 17–23)°C | Clear (3%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 17–22)°C | Clear (4%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 17–22)°C | Clear (8%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19 (spread 16–22)°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts E | 6 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts E | 6 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 17–19)°C | Clear (4%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts E | 7 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (5%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1023 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1025 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1025 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1025 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 9 (spread 9–11) kts NE | 14 kts | 1024 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 29°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1023 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (53%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1022 | E - Poor | cloud 53% · gust 14 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | cloud 57% · gust 13 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 27°C | Cloudy (60%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | cloud 60%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, gusts |
| 19. | 1800 | 24 (spread 24–25)°C | Cloudy (66%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | cloud 66%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 23 (spread 21–26)°C | Cloudy (66%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 6 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | cloud 66%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 22 (spread 20–25)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 5 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 21 (spread 19–24)°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 21 (spread 18–23)°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 6 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts E | 4 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 77% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 6% of readings interpolated · first light 0555L · last light 1821L · Moon 9 % illuminated, rises 08:51, sets 20:33.
Tomorrow — Fri 13 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: partly cloudy, winds up to 8 kts N and temperatures 16–29°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0600L (Marginal, 7 h) and 1400–2300L (Marginal, 10 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | B | D | D | C |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A |
| Cloud / ceiling | C | G | E | B |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | A | A | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 19 (spread 18–22)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts SE | 4 kts | 1023 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 19 (spread 17–21)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 2 (spread 1–4) kts SE | 3 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 19 (spread 17–21)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 2 (spread 1–4) kts ESE | 3 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19 (spread 17–21)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 2 (spread 1–4) kts SE | 3 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 18 (spread 17–20)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts SE | 4 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 17 (spread 16–20)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts SE | 4 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 16 (spread 15–16)°C | Partly cloudy (46%) | 5 (spread 4–7) kts SE | 5 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · cloud 46%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 16 (spread 16–17)°C | Partly cloudy (58%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ESE | 5 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | cloud 58%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Cloudy (74%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts ESE | 7 kts | 1023 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 74%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Cloudy (79%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts E | 10 kts | 1025 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 79%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 11. | 1000 | 25 (spread 24–25)°C | Cloudy (84%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts E | 9 kts | 1025 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 84%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 12. | 1100 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Cloudy (76%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1025 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 76%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 13. | 1200 | 28 (spread 27–28)°C | Cloudy (60%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1024 | E - Poor | cloud 60%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 14. | 1300 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 10 kts | 1023 | E - Poor | cloud 57%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 15. | 1400 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (45%) | 7 (spread 3–9) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1023 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · cloud 45%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 16. | 1500 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts N | 10 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 17. | 1600 | 28°C | Partly cloudy (46%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts N | 10 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 46%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 18. | 1700 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts N | 9 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 19. | 1800 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Clear (11%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 23 (spread 20–24)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 3 (spread 2–5) kts N | 3 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 22 (spread 20–24)°C | Clear (10%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts ESE | 2 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (6%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts ESE | 3 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 20 (spread 18–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts ESE | 4 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 19 (spread 17–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts ESE | 4 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 82% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 7% of readings interpolated · first light 0556L · last light 1821L · Moon 15 % illuminated, rises 09:42, sets 21:25.
Extended Outlook
| Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | E | F | F | F | F | F | G | F | G | F | E | D |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A | A | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Cloud / ceiling | A | A | A | A | A | C | C | C | G | B | B | A |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A |
| Overall | E | F | F | F | F | F | G | F | G | F | E | D |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
Sat 14 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 9 kts E and temperatures 16–29°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h) and 1500–2300L (Marginal, 9 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 19 (spread 17–22)°C | Clear (4%) | 3 (spread 2–3) kts ESE | 3 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 18 (spread 16–21)°C | Clear (5%) | 3 (spread 1–3) kts ESE | 4 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 18 (spread 16–21)°C | Clear (6%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts E | 4 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 18 (spread 16–20)°C | Clear (5%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts E | 4 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 18 (spread 15–20)°C | Clear (5%) | 3 (spread 1–5) kts E | 5 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 17 (spread 16–20)°C | Clear (9%) | 3 (spread 2–5) kts E | 5 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 16°C | Clear (6%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts E | 7 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 16 (spread 15–17)°C | Clear (2%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts E | 8 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (2%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts E | 11 kts | 1023 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (4%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts E | 14 kts | 1024 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Clear (4%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts E | 14 kts | 1025 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 25 (spread 24–27)°C | Clear (4%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts E | 14 kts | 1025 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Clear (3%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts E | 13 kts | 1024 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (4%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1023 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Clear (3%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1022 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (2%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 17. | 1600 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 18. | 1700 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (1%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 19. | 1800 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 20. | 1900 | 23 (spread 21–25)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 5–7) kts E | 7 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts E | 7 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts E | 8 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 4–9) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 79% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 9% of readings interpolated · first light 0556L · last light 1821L · Moon 23 % illuminated, rises 10:30, sets 22:16.
Sun 15 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 10 kts E and temperatures 17–30°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h) and 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 2–7) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1021 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 19 (spread 17–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 2–7) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 19 (spread 17–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 2–7) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19 (spread 16–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 2–7) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 18 (spread 16–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 2–7) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 18 (spread 16–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 2–7) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17 (spread 16–17)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 17 (spread 16–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts E | 9 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1022 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 23°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts E | 14 kts | 1023 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts E | 14 kts | 1024 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts E | 15 kts | 1024 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts E | 15 kts | 1023 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts E | 14 kts | 1022 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts E | 14 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts E | 14 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts E | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts E | 12 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 25 (spread 24–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts E | 10 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 20. | 1900 | 23 (spread 21–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts E | 9 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 21. | 2000 | 22 (spread 20–25)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 22 (spread 19–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 21 (spread 18–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 78% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 15% of readings interpolated · first light 0556L · last light 1821L · Moon 31 % illuminated, rises 11:15, sets 23:05.
Mon 16 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 11 kts ENE and temperatures 18–30°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0700L (Marginal, 8 h) and 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 1–5) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 1–5) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Clear (1%) | 4 (spread 1–5) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Clear (1%) | 4 (spread 1–5) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 1–6) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19 (spread 16–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 17–19)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 21°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 26 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–12) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–12) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 28 (spread 27–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 25 (spread 23–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 20. | 1900 | 24 (spread 21–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 22–25)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 22 (spread 20–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts ENE | 5 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts E | 5 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 78% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 16% of readings interpolated · first light 0557L · last light 1821L · Moon 40 % illuminated, rises 11:57, sets 23:53.
Tue 17 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 10 kts ENE, gusting 16 kts and temperatures 17–30°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h) and 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts E | 6 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 1–5) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 2–5) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 2–5) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 18–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1020 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 23°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 26°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Clear (0%) | 10 kts ENE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 10 kts ENE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 9 kts NE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NE | 10 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 20. | 1900 | 23 (spread 21–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 4–9) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 22–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 4–9) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 22. | 2100 | 22 (spread 21–25)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 4–9) kts NE | 8 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 22 (spread 20–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 3–8) kts NE | 7 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 3–8) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 73% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 22% of readings interpolated · first light 0557L · last light 1821L · Moon 50 % illuminated, rises 12:37.
Wed 18 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: clear, winds up to 10 kts ENE and temperatures 17–30°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 1–6) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 1–6) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 1–6) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 1–6) kts ENE | 6 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19 (spread 18–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–10) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 11. | 1000 | 24 (spread 22–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 7–11) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 7–11) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (3%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Clear (4%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 27°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 25°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 24 (spread 22–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 22–25)°C | Clear (2%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 22. | 2100 | 22 (spread 21–25)°C | Clear (2%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 23. | 2200 | 21 (spread 20–24)°C | Clear (2%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts NE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (2%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 70% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 24% of readings interpolated · first light 0557L · last light 1821L · Moon 60 % illuminated, rises 13:16, sets 00:40.
Thu 19 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 10 kts ENE, gusting 16 kts and temperatures 18–30°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 2–6) kts NE | 8 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 19–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 18–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 18–21)°C | Clear (2%) | 6 (spread 3–7) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (2%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (2%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 19°C | Clear (5%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, strong wind, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (7%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts E | 12 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1022 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts E | 14 kts | 1022 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1022 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 9 kts ENE | 15 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts E | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 27°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 8 kts ENE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 25°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 24 (spread 23–27)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts E | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 22–26)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 22. | 2100 | 23 (spread 21–25)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 23. | 2200 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 21 (spread 20–24)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 7 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 68% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 27% of readings interpolated · first light 0558L · last light 1821L · Moon 69 % illuminated, rises 13:54, sets 01:27.
Fri 20 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Very Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 12 kts E, gusting 18 kts and temperatures 18–30°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 20–23)°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 21 (spread 19–22)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 10. | 0900 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 10 kts E | 15 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 10 kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 12 (spread 10–12) kts E | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 30°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts E | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts E | 18 kts | 1022 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts E | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 27°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Clear (6%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 24 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Clear (1%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 23 (spread 21–25)°C | Clear (1%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 22 (spread 21–25)°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 22 (spread 20–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 68% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 28% of readings interpolated · first light 0558L · last light 1821L · Moon 79 % illuminated, rises 14:34, sets 02:15.
Sat 21 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Very Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 12 kts ENE and temperatures 18–30°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 3–7) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 22 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NE | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 21 (spread 19–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 4–8) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 17–19)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 25 (spread 23–26)°C | Clear (1%) | 11 (spread 10–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 27 (spread 25–28)°C | Clear (9%) | 11 kts ENE | 17 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Clear (12%) | 12 (spread 11–13) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 30°C | Clear (12%) | 12 (spread 11–13) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 12 (spread 11–13) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 12 (spread 11–12) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts E | 15 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 27°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 22. | 2100 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 8 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 15 kts | 1018 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 21 (spread 21–22)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 11 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 8 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 67% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 22% of readings interpolated · first light 0558L · last light 1821L · Moon 87 % illuminated, rises 15:16, sets 03:05.
Sun 22 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: partly cloudy, winds up to 11 kts ENE, gusting 18 kts and temperatures 18–31°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall an improvement on the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 5 (spread 2–6) kts NE | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts NE | 7 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 6 (spread 3–7) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 18–21)°C | Partly cloudy (46%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NE | 9 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 46% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 20°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 7 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 9 kts ENE | 15 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 10 kts ENE | 17 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (43%) | 10 kts ENE | 17 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 10. | 0900 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 10 kts ENE | 17 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (59%) | 10 kts ENE | 17 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 27°C | Cloudy (66%) | 10 kts ENE | 17 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | cloud 66% · gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Cloudy (73%) | 11 kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 73% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 31°C | Cloudy (75%) | 10 kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 75% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Cloudy (72%) | 10 kts ENE | 16 kts | 1021 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 72% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Cloudy (66%) | 10 kts ENE | 18 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (59%) | 9 kts NE | 18 kts | 1020 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 27°C | Partly cloudy (53%) | 9 kts NE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | cloud 53% · gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (47%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 24°C | Partly cloudy (43%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 23°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 8 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 22. | 2100 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 8 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 21°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 8 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 21°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 8 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
Confidence: 69% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 3% of readings interpolated · first light 0559L · last light 1821L · Moon 93 % illuminated, rises 16:02, sets 03:58.
Mon 23 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 9 kts ENE, gusting 16 kts and temperatures 18–30°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 6 kts ENE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 21°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 6 kts ENE | 12 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 21°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 6 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 6 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 20°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 6 kts ENE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 20°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 kts ENE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 18°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 8 kts ENE | 14 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 8 kts ENE | 14 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 8 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 22°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 8 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 24°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 8 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 26°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 8 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 9 kts ENE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 30°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 8 kts NE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 8 kts NE | 16 kts | 1021 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 29°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 9 kts NE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 28°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 9 kts NE | 16 kts | 1020 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 27°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 8 kts NE | 15 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 25°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 7 kts NE | 15 kts | 1019 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 24°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 7 kts NE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 21. | 2000 | 23°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 7 kts ENE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 22. | 2100 | 22°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 7 kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 23. | 2200 | 21°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 7 kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 20°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 kts ENE | 8 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 69% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0559L · last light 1822L · Moon 98 % illuminated, rises 16:54, sets 04:56.
Tue 24 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 8 kts NE, gusting 14 kts and temperatures 17–31°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 4 kts ENE | 7 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 4 kts ENE | 7 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 4 kts ENE | 8 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 4 kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 5 kts ENE | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 19°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 7 kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 7 kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 7 kts ENE | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 22°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 7 kts ENE | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 11. | 1000 | 25°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 7 kts ENE | 9 kts | 1021 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 12. | 1100 | 27°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 7 kts NE | 12 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 29°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 31°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1021 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 30°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 29°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1020 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 7 kts NE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 27°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 7 kts NE | 14 kts | 1019 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 25°C | Clear (12%) | 6 kts NE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 24°C | Clear (10%) | 5 kts NE | 11 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 23°C | Clear (9%) | 5 kts NE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 22. | 2100 | 22°C | Clear (9%) | 5 kts ENE | 10 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 21°C | Clear (9%) | 5 kts ENE | 9 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 20°C | Clear (9%) | 5 kts ENE | 8 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 69% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0600L · last light 1822L · Moon 100 % illuminated, rises 17:53, sets 05:59.
Wed 25 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be variable: mostly clear, winds up to 6 kts NNE and temperatures 17–31°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Clear (9%) | 3 kts E | 7 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Clear (8%) | 3 kts E | 7 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Clear (8%) | 4 kts E | 8 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20°C | Clear (7%) | 4 kts E | 8 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Clear (7%) | 4 kts E | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 19°C | Clear (6%) | 4 kts E | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 7. | 0600 | 17°C | Clear (6%) | 6 kts E | 9 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Clear (6%) | 6 kts E | 9 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, fog risk 14 % at dawn |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Clear (6%) | 5 kts E | 9 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 22°C | Clear (7%) | 5 kts E | 8 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 25°C | Clear (8%) | 5 kts E | 7 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 27°C | Clear (10%) | 5 kts E | 7 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 30°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 5 kts E | 7 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 31°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 kts NNW | 9 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 15. | 1400 | 31°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 5 kts N | 10 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 30°C | Clear (11%) | 6 kts N | 11 kts | 1020 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 29°C | Clear (9%) | 6 kts N | 10 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 18. | 1700 | 28°C | Clear (10%) | 6 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 26°C | Clear (12%) | 6 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 25°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 5 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1019 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 24°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 5 kts NE | 10 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 22. | 2100 | 23°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 5 kts NE | 9 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 23. | 2200 | 22°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 kts NE | 8 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 21°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 5 kts ENE | 7 kts | 1018 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 68% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0600L · last light 1822L · Moon 99 % illuminated, rises 18:57, sets 07:06.
TAF
No current TAF — last issued 6 Nov 17:00Z, expired 8 Nov 00:00Z
Imagery
Source panel
| Source | Accuracy | Skill n | Temp °C | Wind kt | Visibility | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| MetCheck | ▽ 0.8 | 3201 | 18–25 | 2–3 | — | — |
| Met.no (Yr) | ▲ 1.1 | 2112 | 19–25 | 6–8 | — | 0 % |
| Open-Meteo | ▲ 1.1 | 6250 | 19–25 | 4–7 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| OpenWeather | ≈ 1.1 | 968 | 18–22 | 5–7 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| Tomorrow.io | ▲ 1.1 | 2778 | 19–25 | 5–8 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| UK Met Office | ▲ 1.1 | 2670 | 11–22 | 0–5 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| Visual Crossing | ▲ 1.1 | 5493 | 18–24 | 5–7 | 10+ km | 0 % |
Each source's own raw values, min–max over the next 6 hours from the issue hour (before any weighting or bias correction). — means the source does not publish that metric in the window. Wide gaps between rows are real disagreement; the forecast above weights sources by measured skill.
Reading this report
Grades: each hour carries one grade, set by its WORST factor. The bands below are the thresholds in force for this report (Settings); a value in a band earns that grade, and "-" means the factor never produces that grade. Cloud is graded on the worse of cover and ceiling. The Driver column names the limiting factor with its value; open it in the web report for the boundary and sources.
| Grade | Cloud cover | Cloud ceiling | Visibility | Wind | Gust | Rain chance | Thunderstorm probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| A Excellent | ≤ 17.1% | ≥ 30000 ft | ≥ 8000 m | < 3 kt | < 3 kt | < 5% | 0% |
| B Good | 17.1–34.3% | 26000–30000 ft | 6666.7–8000 m | 3–6 kt | 3–6 kt | 5–10% | - |
| C Fair | 34.3–42.9% | 24000–26000 ft | 5333.3–6666.7 m | 6–9 kt | 6–9 kt | 10–15% | - |
| D Marginal | 42.9–51.4% | 22000–24000 ft | 4000–5333.3 m | 9–12 kt | 9–12 kt | 15–20% | >0–15% |
| E Poor | 51.4–60% | 16000–22000 ft | 2666.7–4000 m | 12–15 kt | 12–15 kt | 20–25% | 15–30% |
| F Very Poor | 60–68.6% | 10000–16000 ft | 1333.3–2666.7 m | 15–18 kt | 15–18 kt | 25–30% | 30–60% |
| G Unacceptable | > 68.6% | < 10000 ft | < 1333.3 m | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 30% | > 60% |
Flight windows: a window is at least 2 consecutive hours graded Marginal or better; an hour with insufficient data never counts toward one. ☾ marks a window outside first-to-last light.
Time: hours are local time (WAT, UTC+1) unless suffixed Z, which is UTC (TAF, METAR and issue times). Local midnight is labelled 0001.
Units: temperature °C · wind and gusts knots · visibility metres (km in text) · cloud ceiling feet · cloud cover % · rain chance and thunderstorm probability % · QNH hPa (altimeter setting at the field) · CAPE J/kg. A figure like "28 (26–30)°C" gives the p10–p90 range; "spread" marks disagreement between sources.
Symbols: ▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations). ⚠ on a remark means a low-confidence hour; a ⚠ paragraph on the first page is a convective-warning or data-age advisory. ⚡ is lightning observed by satellite near the field (©EUMETSAT).
Hourly glyphs: the wind arrow points the way the air moves (a north wind is ↓, an east wind ←); cloud cover shows as ☀ ◔ ◑ ◕ ☁ (clear, few, scattered, broken, overcast); a shaded hour label is wholly before first light or after last light.
Terms: "No data" - no source forecast the hour, or a core group (cloud, visibility, wind) is missing and the hour could still be flyable; missing data is never given a good grade. "Low-confidence" - few or weak sources behind the load-bearing metrics; treat the grade as indicative. "Insufficient data" - too little to grade at all. "Estimated" (est.) - the value is derived, not reported by a source (dust visibility, cloud base, gusts); it is declared where used and weighted at half. "Derived" - an hour interpolated from a coarser (3-hourly or daily) source, weighted at half and never used to score accuracy.
Data provenance
| Source | Fetched (Z) | Age | Skill n | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) |
| Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov) | 12 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 281 | ≈ 1.0 |
| Foreca | 12 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 457 | ▲ 1.2 |
| MetCheck | 12 Nov 03:20Z | 3 min | 3201 | ▽ 0.8 |
| Met.no (Yr) | 12 Nov 03:20Z | 3 min | 2112 | ▲ 1.1 |
| Open-Meteo | 12 Nov 03:20Z | 3 min | 6250 | ▲ 1.1 |
| OpenWeather | 12 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 968 | ≈ 1.1 |
| Tomorrow.io | 12 Nov 03:20Z | 3 min | 2778 | ▲ 1.1 |
| UK Met Office | 12 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 2670 | ▲ 1.1 |
| Visual Crossing | 12 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 5493 | ▲ 1.1 |
Corrections applied (detailed under Learned corrections on the first page): skill weighting, bias correction, hour-of-day bias, cloud-base estimate, probability calibration, fog risk, climatology bounds, skill blend.
How accurate have we been
Measured against observations (METAR/SYNOP), jos only. Verification table computed 2026-11-12. Mean absolute error (MAE): lower is better; "beats persistence" compares the best source with "it will stay as it is now" on the same hours.
| Metric | Best source | Best MAE | Typical MAE | Persistence MAE | Beats persistence by | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | openweather | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5.2 | - | 110 |
| Dew point (°C) | aifs | 2.3 | 5.6 | 2.6 | - | 67 |
| Wind speed (kt) | foreca | 3.1 | 4.0 | 2.8 | - | 72 |
| Visibility (m) | openmeteo | 564 | 762 | 1270 | 0 % | 680 |
| Cloud cover (%) | meteofrance | 25 | 48 | 10 | - | 507 |
Learned bias (forecast minus observed; positive = sources run high), mean over scored sources, by local time of day. These are corrected for before sources are averaged.
| Metric | Overall | Night | Morning | Afternoon | Evening | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | +0.5 | - | +0.8 | +0.1 | +0.8 | 7142 |
| Dew point (°C) | -4.2 | - | -4.9 | -3.4 | -3.1 | 6739 |
| Wind speed (kt) | -2.6 | - | -2.5 | -2.6 | -4.0 | 7076 |
Not yet available: Scores are decayed over the verification window (half-life 14 days); separate last-7-day and last-30-day windows are not stored. Bias is the current learned value; the history needed for a trend over time is not stored. Flight-window hit / bust / miss is not yet recorded.