Maiduguri — 14-Day Forecast
DNMA · issued 11 Nov 26 00:24Z
Sources used (8): Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov)≈ 1.0 Foreca▽ 0.8 NOAA GFS▽ 0.9 MetCheck▽ 0.8 Met.no (Yr)▲ 1.2 OpenWeather≈ 1.0 Tomorrow.io▲ 1.2 Visual Crossing≈ 1.0
▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations)
Best window (highest confidence, then grade, then length): Thu 12 Nov 26 0001–1000L (Marginal, 11 h) ☾, confidence 78%.
Learned corrections (METAR-verified): skill weighting — pooled all-field scores for 206; bias corrections — OpenWeather wind −4.5 kt, wttrin wind −4.1 kt, meteoblue dewpoint +3.0 °C, openmeteo dewpoint +3.0 °C, Met.no (Yr) dewpoint +3.0 °C, Foreca dewpoint +3.0 °C (+67 more); hour-of-day bias (local time, shrunk toward the all-hours bias) — OpenWeather afternoon wind −5.0 kt, wttrin evening wind −4.6 kt, OpenWeather night wind −4.0 kt, OpenWeather evening wind −4.0 kt, wttrin afternoon wind −3.8 kt, wttrin night wind −3.7 kt (+284 more); cloud base estimated as 410 ft per °C of dewpoint spread for sources that report no ceiling (≥60% cloud cover; flagged estimated, weighted ×0.5); probability calibration — rain chance: meteoblue, openmeteo, Foreca, MetCheck, OpenWeather, Visual Crossing, Tomorrow.io, wttrin, ecmwf, NOAA GFS, icon, ukmo, gem, ecmwfens; storm: openmeteo, Met.no (Yr), Foreca, OpenWeather, Visual Crossing, Tomorrow.io, wttrin, ecmwf, NOAA GFS, icon, meteofrance, Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov), ukmo, jma, gem, ecmwfens, aifs (each source's stated probability mapped to its verified frequency by an isotonic fit on ≥200 pairs, proven on the holdout); fog risk (n=1764): observed fog frequency by dewpoint spread, wind, local hour and season for the forecast conditions (shown from 10 %), proven on the holdout; plausibility bounds from ERA5 climatology 2016-2025 (mean ± 5 sd; screening only, not observed truth); skill blend 1 auto-tuned over 10245 holdout pairs (consensus beat the best single source, icon, by 15%); correction gates (newest-7-day holdout; pooled skill is always on) — regional skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); place skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); lead-time skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); small-sample skill shrinkage: off this week (did not improve holdout); bias correction: on (improved holdout by 24.9%); place bias: on (improved holdout by 10.4%); hour-of-day bias: on (improved holdout by 6.6%); QNH bias: on (improved holdout by 57.3%); gust estimates: off this week (did not improve holdout); cloud-base coefficient: off this week (insufficient holdout: 84 of 200 items); recent-form skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); probability calibration: on (improved holdout by 27.7%); nowcast anchor horizon: off this week (did not improve holdout); dust-visibility estimate: off this week (did not improve holdout); fog risk: on (improved holdout by 2.6%).
Outlook
| Day | Date | Outlook | Temp | Max wind | Flight windows | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| Wed | 11 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 20–36°C | 9 kts ENE, g 20 | 2100–2300L (Marginal, 3 h) ☾ | 75% | 8% interpolated |
| Thu | 12 Nov 26 | Marginal | 18–34°C | 7 kts N, g 13 | 0001–1000L (Marginal, 11 h) ☾ | 78% | 9% interpolated |
| Fri | 13 Nov 26 | Marginal | 16–34°C | 6 kts ENE, g 18 | 0001–0600L (Marginal, 7 h) ☾; 1000–1300L (Marginal, 4 h); 1500–1700L (Marginal, 3 h) | 74% | 14% interpolated |
| Sat | 14 Nov 26 | Marginal | 16–35°C | 6 kts NE, g 16 | 0001–1100L (Marginal, 12 h) ☾; 1600–1800L (Marginal, 3 h); 2200–2300L (Marginal, 2 h) ☾ | 74% | 18% interpolated |
| Sun | 15 Nov 26 | Marginal | 17–36°C | 7 kts NE, g 18 | 0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾; 1200–1700L (Marginal, 6 h) | 74% | 22% interpolated |
| Mon | 16 Nov 26 | Poor | 19–37°C | 9 kts NNE, g 17 | none | 69% | 27% interpolated |
| Tue | 17 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 18–36°C | 10 kts NE, g 18 | none | 68% | 27% interpolated |
| Wed | 18 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–36°C | 10 kts NE, g 17 | none | 67% | 27% interpolated |
| Thu | 19 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–36°C | 9 kts NE, g 18 | none | 68% | 27% interpolated |
| Fri | 20 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–36°C | 10 kts NE, g 17 | none | 67% | 23% interpolated |
| Sat | 21 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 19–36°C | 11 kts NE, g 26 | none | 51% | 1% interpolated |
| Sun | 22 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 19–36°C | 9 kts NE, g 25 | none | 50% | |
| Mon | 23 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 19–36°C | 8 kts NNE, g 18 | none | 50% | |
| Tue | 24 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 19–36°C | 7 kts NNE, g 22 | none | 50% |
Today — Wed 11 Nov 26
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | G | G | F | G |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A |
| Cloud / ceiling | G | G | G | C |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 23°C | Overcast (98%) | 3 kts NE | 8 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 98% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 22 (spread 22–23)°C | Overcast (96%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 13 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 96%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Overcast (96%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 15 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 96% · gust spread +10 kt
| cloud cover, wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Overcast (97%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 20 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 97% · gust 20 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Overcast (96%) | 5 kts NE | 18 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 96% · gust 18 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Overcast (94%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 13 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 94%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Overcast (97%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NE | 12 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 97%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Overcast (98%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NE | 20 kts | 1017 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 98% · gust 20 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 24 (spread 24–25)°C | Overcast (99%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1018 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 99% · gust 19 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Overcast (95%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1019 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 95%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Overcast (90%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1018 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 90%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 31 (spread 31–32)°C | Cloudy (88%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1018 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 88%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 35°C | Cloudy (85%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1017 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 85%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Cloudy (84%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 84%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Cloudy (82%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 14 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 82%
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Cloudy (86%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 86%
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 35 (spread 34–36)°C | Cloudy (62%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | cloud 62%
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 33 (spread 31–34)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 7 (spread 5–10) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 28 (spread 27–30)°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NNE | 19 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +13 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27 (spread 25–28)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 16 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26 (spread 24–26)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 22. | 2100 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 24. | 2300 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 75% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 8% of readings interpolated · first light 0541L · last light 1802L · Moon 5 % illuminated, rises 07:46, sets 19:20.
Tomorrow — Thu 12 Nov 26
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | D | E | E | E |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A |
| Cloud / ceiling | A | A | D | D |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (12%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 9 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (9%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 9 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (9%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 10 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 9. | 0800 | 22 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 kts ENE | 10 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (10%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 28°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (6%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 13 kts | 1017 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 33 (spread 33–34)°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 6 (spread 3–8) kts NE | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (12%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts N | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts N | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 34 (spread 33–34)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts N | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32 (spread 31–32)°C | Partly cloudy (45%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts N | 10 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · cloud 45%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 19. | 1800 | 28 (spread 27–28)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 26 (spread 24–27)°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 25 (spread 23–26)°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 6 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 6 kts N | 13 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 4% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
Confidence: 78% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 9% of readings interpolated · first light 0541L · last light 1802L · Moon 9 % illuminated, rises 08:38, sets 20:11.
Extended Outlook
| Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Cloud / ceiling | E | D | A | A | A | E | B | B | B | C | C | C |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Overall | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
Fri 13 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 5 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 44%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 17°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · cloud 49%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 17°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 16 (spread 16–17)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NE | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 14 kts | 1017 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 21 (spread 21–22)°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 24 (spread 24–25)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 5 kts NE | 11 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 33 (spread 32–33)°C | Clear (11%) | 3 (spread 2–3) kts NE | 9 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 34 (spread 33–34)°C | Clear (12%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust spread +6 kt
| thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 34°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 1 (spread 0–2) kts N | 8 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust spread +6 kt
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts N | 8 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust spread +6 kt
| thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 34 (spread 33–34)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 3 (spread 2–3) kts N | 9 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 32 (spread 31–32)°C | Partly cloudy (47%) | 3 (spread 3–4) kts N | 8 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 47%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 17 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Cloudy (60%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 18 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +13 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 17 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt
| wind shear, gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 21 (spread 21–22)°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts N | 10 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | cloud 57%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
Confidence: 74% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 14% of readings interpolated · first light 0541L · last light 1802L · Moon 15 % illuminated, rises 09:29, sets 21:03.
Sat 14 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 9 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 48%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 8 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · cloud 50%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 3 (spread 2–3) kts N | 6 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 44%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 17 (spread 16–17)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 2 (spread 1–2) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 16 (spread 15–17)°C | Partly cloudy (46%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 46%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 16°C | Clear (9%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 16 (spread 15–17)°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 3 (spread 2–5) kts NE | 6 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 21°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 9 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 24 (spread 24–25)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1019 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 6 kts NE | 11 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1018 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 33 (spread 33–34)°C | Clear (4%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +8 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (2%) | 3 (spread 2–5) kts NE | 11 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust spread +8 kt
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 15. | 1400 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (2%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust spread +8 kt
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 16. | 1500 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (1%) | 2 (spread 1–4) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust spread +6 kt
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 17. | 1600 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (0%) | 2 (spread 1–4) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust spread +5 kt
| thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 32 (spread 32–33)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 28 (spread 27–30)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts N | 11 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 26 (spread 24–28)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 16 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Clear (10%) | 6 kts N | 15 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Clear (3%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 14 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +9 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 11 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 22 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 9 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 74% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 18% of readings interpolated · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 23 % illuminated, rises 10:17, sets 21:54.
Sun 15 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (1%) | 4 (spread 3–4) kts N | 8 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (1%) | 4 (spread 3–4) kts N | 7 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 19°C | Clear (1%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts N | 7 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 18°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 2–4) kts N | 7 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts N | 6 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 2–5) kts NE | 6 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (0%) | 3 (spread 1–5) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1017 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 12 kts | 1017 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 31 (spread 30–31)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 kts NE | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 35°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 15. | 1400 | 36 (spread 36–37)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 36 (spread 36–37)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–7) kts NE | 10 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 36 (spread 35–37)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 10 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 18. | 1700 | 34 (spread 33–35)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 10 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 19. | 1800 | 30 (spread 29–31)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · gust spread +9 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts N | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts N | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 25°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 74% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 22% of readings interpolated · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 31 % illuminated, rises 11:01, sets 22:45.
Mon 16 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust spread +6 kt
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–4) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 7. | 0600 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 16 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 16 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 26 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 kts NE | 16 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 31 (spread 31–32)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 35 (spread 35–36)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 37 (spread 36–37)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 36 (spread 36–37)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 36°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 35°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 33 (spread 32–33)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 28 (spread 27–28)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 16 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 17 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 69% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 27% of readings interpolated · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 40 % illuminated, rises 11:43, sets 23:33.
Tue 17 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts N | 15 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (0%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 26 (spread 25–27)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 31 (spread 30–32)°C | Clear (0%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 35°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 36–37)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 16 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 36 (spread 36–37)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 35 (spread 34–36)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 33 (spread 32–33)°C | Clear (0%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (3%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NNE | 17 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Clear (2%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts N | 18 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 18 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25 (spread 24–25)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 16 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24°C | Clear (5%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 68% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 27% of readings interpolated · first light 0543L · last light 1801L · Moon 50 % illuminated, rises 12:22.
Wed 18 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts N | 17 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts N | 17 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19°C | Clear (4%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Clear (4%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (5%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (6%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Clear (9%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Clear (11%) | 6 kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 9 (spread 7–11) kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 35 (spread 35–36)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 33 (spread 33–34)°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 31 (spread 31–32)°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (53%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | cloud 53% · gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Partly cloudy (52%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | cloud 52% · gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Partly cloudy (52%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | cloud 52% · gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25 (spread 24–25)°C | Partly cloudy (45%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 45% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 24 (spread 23–24)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts N | 9 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 67% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 27% of readings interpolated · first light 0543L · last light 1801L · Moon 60 % illuminated, rises 12:59, sets 00:21.
Thu 19 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 4 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 4 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 19°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 4 (spread 3–4) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 4 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 18°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 4 (spread 3–4) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 18°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NE | 16 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (10%) | 8 kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (1%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 14 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Clear (0%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Clear (1%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Clear (2%) | 8 (spread 7–10) kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 35 (spread 35–36)°C | Clear (2%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 35 (spread 34–36)°C | Clear (1%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 34 (spread 33–35)°C | Clear (1%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 32 (spread 31–33)°C | Clear (1%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (2%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Clear (4%) | 6 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26 (spread 25–27)°C | Clear (4%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 68% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 27% of readings interpolated · first light 0544L · last light 1801L · Moon 69 % illuminated, rises 13:37, sets 01:09.
Fri 20 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (1%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (1%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (2%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (2%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19 (spread 19–20)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (3%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 15 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 26°C | Clear (4%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NE | 14 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 29°C | Clear (4%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 14 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 31 (spread 30–31)°C | Clear (11%) | 10 (spread 10–11) kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts NE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 15. | 1400 | 35 (spread 35–36)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 16. | 1500 | 35 (spread 34–36)°C | Clear (12%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 34 (spread 33–35)°C | Clear (5%) | 8 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 18. | 1700 | 32 (spread 31–33)°C | Clear (5%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Clear (5%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (5%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts NNE | 17 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (6%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Clear (5%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Clear (5%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (6%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 67% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 23% of readings interpolated · first light 0544L · last light 1802L · Moon 79 % illuminated, rises 14:16, sets 01:57.
Sat 21 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (6%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Clear (9%) | 5 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 6 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 6 kts NNE | 19 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 20°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 kts NNE | 20 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 5 kts NNE | 23 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 23 kt · gust spread +18 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 5 kts NNE | 25 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 25 kt · gust spread +20 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 20°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 5 kts NE | 26 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 26 kt · gust spread +21 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 23°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 7 kts NE | 25 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 25 kt · gust spread +18 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 9 kts NE | 21 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 28°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 10 kts NE | 19 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 30°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 11 kts NE | 17 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 10 kts NE | 16 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 10 kts NE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 10 kts NE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 10 kts NE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 33°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 10 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 9 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 8 kts NNE | 19 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 7 kts NNE | 20 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 7 kts NNE | 20 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 6 kts NNE | 20 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 6 kts N | 19 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 6 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 51% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 1% of readings interpolated · first light 0544L · last light 1802L · Moon 87 % illuminated, rises 14:57, sets 02:48.
Sun 22 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 5 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 5 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 5 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 5 kts NNE | 20 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 5 kts NNE | 21 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 5 kts NNE | 23 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 23 kt · gust spread +18 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 5 kts NNE | 24 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 24 kt · gust spread +19 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 6 kts NNE | 25 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 25 kt · gust spread +19 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 7 kts NE | 23 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 23 kt · gust spread +16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 8 kts NE | 19 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 27°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 9 kts NE | 16 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 9 kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 8 kts NE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 8 kts NE | - | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 8 kts NNE | - | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 7 kts NNE | - | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 7 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 7 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 7 kts NNE | 21 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 6 kts NNE | 20 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 6 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 6 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 6 kts N | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 50% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0545L · last light 1802L · Moon 93 % illuminated, rises 15:42, sets 03:42.
Mon 23 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 5 kts N | 17 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 5 kts N | 16 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 5 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 4 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust spread +6 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 4 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 19°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 4 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 7. | 0600 | 20°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 5 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 20°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 5 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 6 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 7 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 27°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 8 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 29°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 8 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 8 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 8 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 8 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 8 kts NNE | - | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 7 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 7 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 7 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 6 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 6 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 6 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 5 kts N | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 5 kts N | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 50% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0545L · last light 1802L · Moon 98 % illuminated, rises 16:34, sets 04:41.
Tue 24 Nov 26
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 5 kts N | 15 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 5 kts N | 15 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 5 kts N | 15 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 19°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 kts N | 16 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 4 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 19°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 4 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 4 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 4 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 4 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 5 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 27°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 6 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 6 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 6 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 6 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 6 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 6 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 6 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 0% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 6 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 7 kts NNE | 19 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 7 kts NNE | 22 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 22 kt · gust spread +15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 7 kts NNE | 22 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 22 kt · gust spread +15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 6 kts NNE | 19 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 6 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 5 kts N | 16 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 50% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0546L · last light 1802L · Moon 100 % illuminated, rises 17:31, sets 05:45.
TAF
No current TAF — last issued 9 Nov 11:00Z, expired 10 Nov 16:00Z
Imagery
Source panel
| Source | Accuracy | Skill n | Temp °C | Wind kt | Visibility | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| NOAA GFS | ▽ 0.9 | 10134 | 22–25 | 6–8 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| MetCheck | ▽ 0.8 | 6482 | 22–25 | 5–7 | — | — |
| Met.no (Yr) | ▲ 1.2 | 4313 | 23–25 | 6 | — | 0 % |
| OpenWeather | ≈ 1.0 | 2029 | 24 | 7–8 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| Tomorrow.io | ▲ 1.2 | 5582 | 23–25 | 5–6 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| Visual Crossing | ≈ 1.0 | 11456 | 21–24 | 8 | 10+ km | 0 % |
Each source's own raw values, min–max over the next 6 hours from the issue hour (before any weighting or bias correction). — means the source does not publish that metric in the window. Wide gaps between rows are real disagreement; the forecast above weights sources by measured skill.
Reading this report
Grades: each hour carries one grade, set by its WORST factor. The bands below are the thresholds in force for this report (Settings); a value in a band earns that grade, and "-" means the factor never produces that grade. Cloud is graded on the worse of cover and ceiling. The Driver column names the limiting factor with its value; open it in the web report for the boundary and sources.
| Grade | Cloud cover | Cloud ceiling | Visibility | Wind | Gust | Rain chance | Thunderstorm probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| A Excellent | ≤ 17.1% | ≥ 30000 ft | ≥ 8000 m | < 3 kt | < 3 kt | < 5% | 0% |
| B Good | 17.1–34.3% | 26000–30000 ft | 6666.7–8000 m | 3–6 kt | 3–6 kt | 5–10% | - |
| C Fair | 34.3–42.9% | 24000–26000 ft | 5333.3–6666.7 m | 6–9 kt | 6–9 kt | 10–15% | - |
| D Marginal | 42.9–51.4% | 22000–24000 ft | 4000–5333.3 m | 9–12 kt | 9–12 kt | 15–20% | >0–15% |
| E Poor | 51.4–60% | 16000–22000 ft | 2666.7–4000 m | 12–15 kt | 12–15 kt | 20–25% | 15–30% |
| F Very Poor | 60–68.6% | 10000–16000 ft | 1333.3–2666.7 m | 15–18 kt | 15–18 kt | 25–30% | 30–60% |
| G Unacceptable | > 68.6% | < 10000 ft | < 1333.3 m | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 30% | > 60% |
Flight windows: a window is at least 2 consecutive hours graded Marginal or better; an hour with insufficient data never counts toward one. ☾ marks a window outside first-to-last light.
Time: hours are local time (WAT, UTC+1) unless suffixed Z, which is UTC (TAF, METAR and issue times). Local midnight is labelled 0001.
Units: temperature °C · wind and gusts knots · visibility metres (km in text) · cloud ceiling feet · cloud cover % · rain chance and thunderstorm probability % · QNH hPa (altimeter setting at the field) · CAPE J/kg. A figure like "28 (26–30)°C" gives the p10–p90 range; "spread" marks disagreement between sources.
Symbols: ▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations). ⚠ on a remark means a low-confidence hour; a ⚠ paragraph on the first page is a convective-warning or data-age advisory. ⚡ is lightning observed by satellite near the field (©EUMETSAT).
Hourly glyphs: the wind arrow points the way the air moves (a north wind is ↓, an east wind ←); cloud cover shows as ☀ ◔ ◑ ◕ ☁ (clear, few, scattered, broken, overcast); a shaded hour label is wholly before first light or after last light.
Terms: "No data" - no source forecast the hour, or a core group (cloud, visibility, wind) is missing and the hour could still be flyable; missing data is never given a good grade. "Low-confidence" - few or weak sources behind the load-bearing metrics; treat the grade as indicative. "Insufficient data" - too little to grade at all. "Estimated" (est.) - the value is derived, not reported by a source (dust visibility, cloud base, gusts); it is declared where used and weighted at half. "Derived" - an hour interpolated from a coarser (3-hourly or daily) source, weighted at half and never used to score accuracy.
Data provenance
| Source | Fetched (Z) | Age | Skill n | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) |
| Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov) | 11 Nov 00:19Z | 5 min | 1613 | ≈ 1.0 |
| Foreca | 11 Nov 00:20Z | 4 min | 392 | ▽ 0.8 |
| NOAA GFS | 11 Nov 00:19Z | 5 min | 10134 | ▽ 0.9 |
| MetCheck | 11 Nov 00:20Z | 4 min | 6482 | ▽ 0.8 |
| Met.no (Yr) | 11 Nov 00:20Z | 4 min | 4313 | ▲ 1.2 |
| OpenWeather | 11 Nov 00:18Z | 5 min | 2029 | ≈ 1.0 |
| Tomorrow.io | 11 Nov 00:20Z | 4 min | 5582 | ▲ 1.2 |
| Visual Crossing | 11 Nov 00:19Z | 4 min | 11456 | ≈ 1.0 |
Corrections applied (detailed under Learned corrections on the first page): skill weighting, bias correction, hour-of-day bias, cloud-base estimate, probability calibration, fog risk, climatology bounds, skill blend.
How accurate have we been
Measured against observations (METAR/SYNOP), maiduguri only. Verification table computed 2026-11-10. Mean absolute error (MAE): lower is better; "beats persistence" compares the best source with "it will stay as it is now" on the same hours.
| Metric | Best source | Best MAE | Typical MAE | Persistence MAE | Beats persistence by | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | meteoblue | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 82 % | 1967 |
| Dew point (°C) | aifs | 1.8 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 40 % | 298 |
| Wind speed (kt) | aifs | 1.7 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 36 % | 201 |
| Visibility (m) | ukmo | 486 | 594 | 1250 | 62 % | 1926 |
| Cloud cover (%) | accuweather | 10 | 57 | 10 | - | 27 |
Learned bias (forecast minus observed; positive = sources run high), mean over scored sources, by local time of day. These are corrected for before sources are averaged.
| Metric | Overall | Night | Morning | Afternoon | Evening | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | +0.5 | +2.0 | +1.3 | -0.8 | +0.1 | 38354 |
| Dew point (°C) | -6.5 | -6.6 | -6.0 | -6.8 | -6.4 | 33324 |
| Wind speed (kt) | +0.2 | +0.9 | +0.0 | +0.6 | -0.1 | 23117 |
Not yet available: Scores are decayed over the verification window (half-life 14 days); separate last-7-day and last-30-day windows are not stored. Bias is the current learned value; the history needed for a trend over time is not stored. Flight-window hit / bust / miss is not yet recorded.