Maiduguri — 14-Day Forecast
DNMA · issued 5 Nov 26 03:22Z
Sources used (15): Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov)≈ 1.0 Copernicus CAMS (via Open-Meteo) ECMWF▲ 1.2 Foreca▽ 0.8 Canada GEM▲ 1.2 JMA GSM≈ 0.9 MetCheck▽ 0.8 Météo-France≈ 1.0 Met.no (Yr)▲ 1.2 Open-Meteo≈ 1.0 OpenWeather≈ 1.0 Tomorrow.io▲ 1.2 UK Met Office▲ 1.2 Visual Crossing≈ 1.0 wttr.in▽ 0.9
▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations)
Thu5 Nov 26
GFEFGFFFEDFFFFFFFEDDDEEE
1800–2000L (Marginal, 3 h) ☾
77%
Fri6 Nov 26
EEDEGGFFDDFFGGGGGFGGFFFF
0800–0900L (Marginal, 2 h)
78%
Sat7 Nov 26
EEDDDDDDDDEEEFEEEDDDDDDD
0200–0900L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾ 1700–2300L (Marginal, 7 h) ☾
78%
Sun8 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDDEFFEEEEDDDDEDDD
0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h) ☾ 1600–1900L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾ 2100–2300L (Marginal, 3 h) ☾
78%
Mon9 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDEFGGGGFGFFEEEEED
0001–0700L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾
79%
Tue10 Nov 26
DDDDEDDDEFGGGGGGGFEFGEEE
best window: 0001–0300L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾ 0500–0700L (Marginal, 3 h) ☾
80%
Wed11 Nov 26
EEEDEDEGFFGFFGFFFFGGGFFF
no windows
78%
Thu12 Nov 26
EE····EEEEFFGGGGFGGGGFEE
no windows
72%
Fri13 Nov 26
·········EEFGGFFFEEEEE··
no windows
72%
Sat14 Nov 26
·····EGGGFEEEEFFFFFEEE·E
no windows
72%
Sun15 Nov 26
·········EFFFFFFFGGGGGEE
no windows
70%
Mon16 Nov 26
········EEEEEFFFFFGGGGFE
no windows
69%
Tue17 Nov 26
E·E······EEEEFFFFFGGGGFE
no windows
69%
Wed18 Nov 26
EE·······EEEEFFFEEGGGFEE
no windows
69%
A ExcellentB GoodC FairD MarginalE PoorF Very PoorG Unacceptable· No data
Best window (highest confidence, then grade, then length): Tue 10 Nov 26 0001–0300L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾, confidence 80%.
Learned corrections (METAR-verified): skill weighting — pooled all-field scores for 206; bias corrections — OpenWeather wind −3.9 kt, wttr.in wind −3.8 kt, meteoblue dewpoint +3.0 °C, Open-Meteo dewpoint +3.0 °C, Met.no (Yr) dewpoint +3.0 °C, Foreca dewpoint +3.0 °C (+67 more); hour-of-day bias (local time, shrunk toward the all-hours bias) — wttr.in evening wind −4.2 kt, OpenWeather afternoon wind −4.0 kt, wttr.in night wind −3.8 kt, OpenWeather evening wind −3.7 kt, OpenWeather night wind −3.6 kt, wttr.in afternoon wind −3.4 kt (+284 more); cloud base estimated as 410 ft per °C of dewpoint spread for sources that report no ceiling (≥60% cloud cover; flagged estimated, weighted ×0.5); probability calibration — rain chance: meteoblue, Open-Meteo, Foreca, MetCheck, OpenWeather, Visual Crossing, Tomorrow.io, wttr.in, ECMWF, gfs, icon, UK Met Office, Canada GEM, ecmwfens; storm: Open-Meteo, Met.no (Yr), Foreca, OpenWeather, Visual Crossing, Tomorrow.io, wttr.in, ECMWF, gfs, icon, Météo-France, Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov), UK Met Office, JMA GSM, Canada GEM, ecmwfens, aifs (each source's stated probability mapped to its verified frequency by an isotonic fit on ≥200 pairs, proven on the holdout); plausibility bounds from ERA5 climatology 2016-2025 (mean ± 5 sd; screening only, not observed truth); skill blend 1 auto-tuned over 8433 holdout pairs (consensus beat the best single source, icon, by 17%); correction gates (newest-7-day holdout; pooled skill is always on) — regional skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); place skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); lead-time skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); small-sample skill shrinkage: off this week (did not improve holdout); bias correction: on (improved holdout by 24.0%); place bias: on (improved holdout by 12.0%); hour-of-day bias: on (improved holdout by 4.7%); QNH bias: on (improved holdout by 58.2%); gust estimates: off this week (did not improve holdout); cloud-base coefficient: off this week (insufficient holdout: 75 of 200 items); recent-form skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); probability calibration: on (improved holdout by 19.6%); nowcast anchor horizon: off this week (did not improve holdout); dust-visibility estimate: off this week (did not improve holdout); fog risk: off this week (did not improve holdout).
Outlook
| Day | Date | Outlook | Temp | Max wind | Flight windows | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| Thu | 5 Nov 26 | Very Poor | 21–39°C | 10 kts NE, g 17 | 1800–2000L (Marginal, 3 h) ☾ | 77% | 11% interpolated |
| Fri | 6 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 21–39°C | 9 kts NE, g 17 | 0800–0900L (Marginal, 2 h) | 78% | 12% interpolated |
| Sat | 7 Nov 26 | Marginal | 20–38°C | 7 kts ENE, g 15 | 0200–0900L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾; 1700–2300L (Marginal, 7 h) ☾ | 78% | 13% interpolated |
| Sun | 8 Nov 26 | Marginal | 20–39°C | 8 kts ENE, g 15 | 0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h) ☾; 1600–1900L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾; 2100–2300L (Marginal, 3 h) ☾ | 78% | 12% interpolated |
| Mon | 9 Nov 26 | Marginal | 21–39°C | 11 kts ENE, g 18 | 0001–0700L (Marginal, 8 h) ☾ | 79% | 15% interpolated |
| Tue | 10 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 22–38°C | 11 kts ENE, g 20 | 0001–0300L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾; 0500–0700L (Marginal, 3 h) ☾ | 80% | 20% interpolated |
| Wed | 11 Nov 26 | Very Poor | 21–37°C | 11 kts NE, g 20 | none | 78% | 22% interpolated |
| Thu | 12 Nov 26 | Poor | 20–35°C | 9 kts NNE, g 20 | none | 72% | 32% interpolated |
| Fri | 13 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–34°C | 7 kts NNE, g 16 | none | 72% | 32% interpolated |
| Sat | 14 Nov 26 | Poor | 17–35°C | 8 kts NE, g 16 | none | 72% | 29% interpolated |
| Sun | 15 Nov 26 | Very Poor | 18–36°C | 10 kts NE, g 19 | none | 70% | 3% interpolated |
| Mon | 16 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–36°C | 9 kts NE, g 18 | none | 69% | |
| Tue | 17 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–36°C | 8 kts NNE, g 17 | none | 69% | |
| Wed | 18 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–37°C | 7 kts NE, g 17 | none | 69% |
Today — Thu 5 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Very Poor: partly cloudy, winds up to 10 kts NE, gusting 17 kts and temperatures 21–39°C. Flyable windows: 1800–2000L (Marginal, 3 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L.
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | G | F | F | E |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A |
| Cloud / ceiling | G | F | D | E |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 7 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1010 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 25 (spread 24–25)°C | Cloudy (64%) | 5 (spread 3–8) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | cloud 64%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Cloudy (60%) | 3 (spread 1–5) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | cloud 60%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Cloudy (64%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NE | 4 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | cloud 64%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 22 (spread 20–23)°C | Cloudy (87%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NE | 3 kts | 1010 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 87%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Cloudy (65%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NE | 3 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | cloud 65%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 21 (spread 18–22)°C | Cloudy (64%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 3 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | cloud 64%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Cloudy (67%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | cloud 67%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Partly cloudy (58%) | 5 (spread 1–7) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | cloud 58%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 6 (spread 4–9) kts NE | 11 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 31 (spread 31–32)°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 9 (spread 6–12) kts NE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 33 (spread 33–34)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 9 (spread 8–12) kts NE | 17 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 37 (spread 36–38)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 17 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 38 (spread 38–39)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 39 (spread 39–40)°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts NE | 16 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 39 (spread 38–40)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 16 kts | 1009 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1009 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 36 (spread 35–37)°C | Partly cloudy (43%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1009 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 32 (spread 30–34)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1009 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 20. | 1900 | 30 (spread 29–32)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 50%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 21. | 2000 | 29 (spread 27–31)°C | Partly cloudy (51%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 51%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 22. | 2100 | 28 (spread 27–30)°C | Partly cloudy (55%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | cloud 55% · gust 12 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 28 (spread 26–30)°C | Partly cloudy (54%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | cloud 54% · gust 13 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 27 (spread 25–28)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
Confidence: 77% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 11% of readings interpolated · first light 0539L · last light 1803L · Moon 15 % illuminated, rises 02:40, sets 15:00.
Tomorrow — Fri 6 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: cloudy, winds up to 9 kts NE, gusting 17 kts and temperatures 21–39°C. Flyable windows: 0800–0900L (Marginal, 2 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | E | F | F | D |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A |
| Cloud / ceiling | G | F | G | G |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 25 (spread 23–27)°C | Clear (11%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 24 (spread 22–26)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 23 (spread 21–25)°C | Cloudy (60%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | cloud 60%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 22 (spread 20–24)°C | Cloudy (73%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1010 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 73%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 22 (spread 20–23)°C | Cloudy (72%) | 5 (spread 2–7) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 72%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Cloudy (62%) | 5 (spread 2–7) kts NE | 6 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | cloud 62%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Cloudy (61%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | cloud 61%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 48%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 10 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 48%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 11. | 1000 | 31°C | Cloudy (63%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 14 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | cloud 63%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 34 (spread 33–34)°C | Cloudy (66%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | cloud 66% · gust 15 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 37 (spread 36–38)°C | Cloudy (78%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NE | 17 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 78%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Cloudy (72%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 16 kts | 1010 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 72%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 39 (spread 38–39)°C | Cloudy (73%) | 8 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1009 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 73%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Cloudy (88%) | 8 (spread 8–10) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1009 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 88%
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 37 (spread 36–38)°C | Cloudy (70%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1008 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 70%
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 35 (spread 34–36)°C | Cloudy (67%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts N | 11 kts | 1008 | F - Very Poor | cloud 67%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 31 (spread 30–32)°C | Cloudy (71%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts N | 9 kts | 1009 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 71%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 20. | 1900 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Cloudy (72%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts N | 8 kts | 1009 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 72%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Cloudy (62%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts N | 7 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | cloud 62%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 27 (spread 25–28)°C | Cloudy (62%) | 5 (spread 3–5) kts N | 6 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | cloud 62%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 26 (spread 24–27)°C | Cloudy (68%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 6 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | cloud 68%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 25 (spread 23–26)°C | Cloudy (64%) | 3 (spread 3–4) kts NNW | 5 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | cloud 64%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 78% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 12% of readings interpolated · first light 0539L · last light 1802L · Moon 8 % illuminated, rises 03:29, sets 15:38.
Extended Outlook
| Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | F | F | G | G | G | G | F | F | G | G | G | G |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A | A | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Cloud / ceiling | E | B | C | F | G | G | G | G | A | A | B | B |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Overall | F | F | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G | G |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
Sat 7 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: partly cloudy, winds up to 7 kts ENE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 20–38°C. Flyable windows: 0200–0900L (Marginal, 8 h) and 1700–2300L (Marginal, 7 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall an improvement on the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Partly cloudy (59%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NW | 5 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | cloud 59%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Partly cloudy (56%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NW | 5 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | cloud 56%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Partly cloudy (45%) | 2 (spread 2–3) kts NW | 4 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 45%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 2 (spread 0–4) kts NW | 4 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 2 (spread 0–3) kts NW | 3 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 44%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 2 (spread 0–3) kts NNW | 4 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 3 (spread 0–5) kts NW | 4 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 3 (spread 1–5) kts NW | 4 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 3 (spread 0–5) kts NNE | 5 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts NE | 9 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 31 (spread 30–32)°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 33 (spread 32–34)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 37 (spread 36–38)°C | Partly cloudy (52%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | cloud 52% · gust 14 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Partly cloudy (58%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Partly cloudy (45%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 13 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts NE | 12 kts | 1009 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 37 (spread 36–38)°C | Partly cloudy (55%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1009 | E - Poor | cloud 55%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 36 (spread 34–37)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1009 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 19. | 1800 | 31 (spread 29–33)°C | Clear (12%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts N | 7 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 29 (spread 28–31)°C | Clear (8%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNW | 6 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 28 (spread 27–28)°C | Clear (9%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNW | 6 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (10%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NNW | 6 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts NW | 6 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NW | 4 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 78% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 13% of readings interpolated · first light 0539L · last light 1802L · Moon 4 % illuminated, rises 04:19, sets 16:18.
Sun 8 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: mostly clear, winds up to 8 kts ENE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 20–39°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0800L (Marginal, 9 h), 1600–1900L (Marginal, 4 h) and 2100–2300L (Marginal, 3 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NNW | 5 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 2 (spread 2–4) kts NNW | 5 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts NNW | 5 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts NNW | 5 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 21 (spread 19–22)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 3 (spread 2–3) kts N | 5 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts N | 4 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 3 (spread 3–4) kts NNE | 4 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts NE | 4 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 7 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5%
| thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 31 (spread 31–32)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 8 (spread 6–10) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 33 (spread 33–34)°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 8 (spread 7–10) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 37 (spread 37–38)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 39 (spread 38–39)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 39 (spread 38–39)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 39 (spread 38–39)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 36 (spread 34–37)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 (spread 3–9) kts NE | 11 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 32 (spread 30–34)°C | Clear (3%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 30 (spread 28–31)°C | Clear (1%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts N | 11 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 29 (spread 27–30)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Clear (3%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 78% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 12% of readings interpolated · first light 0540L · last light 1802L · Moon 1 % illuminated, rises 05:09, sets 16:59.
Mon 9 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: mostly clear, winds up to 11 kts ENE, gusting 18 kts and temperatures 21–39°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0700L (Marginal, 8 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 kts NE | 9 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 2. | 0100 | 24 (spread 22–25)°C | Clear (7%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 3. | 0200 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Clear (6%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 9 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Clear (12%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts NE | 9 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NE | 9 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 5 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 9 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 7. | 0600 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NE | 9 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 9 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 8. | 0700 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (12%) | 5 (spread 4–7) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 9. | 0800 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 9 (spread 7–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1016 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 32 (spread 31–32)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 34 (spread 33–34)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 10 (spread 8–13) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 38 (spread 37–38)°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 39 (spread 37–40)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 39 (spread 38–40)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 39 (spread 38–40)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts NE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts NE | 17 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 36 (spread 34–38)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 33 (spread 32–34)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 31 (spread 30–32)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 30 (spread 28–31)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 29 (spread 27–30)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 28 (spread 26–30)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 7 (spread 5–10) kts NE | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 27 (spread 26–29)°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 7 (spread 5–10) kts NE | 11 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 79% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 15% of readings interpolated · first light 0540L · last light 1802L · Moon 0 % illuminated, rises 06:00, sets 17:43.
Tue 10 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: partly cloudy, winds up to 11 kts ENE, gusting 20 kts and temperatures 22–38°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0300L (Marginal, 4 h) and 0500–0700L (Marginal, 3 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 26 (spread 24–27)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 25 (spread 23–27)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 6 (spread 3–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 23 (spread 22–25)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NE | 11 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust spread +7 kt
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts ENE | 10 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 10 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 7. | 0600 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 8. | 0700 | 23 (spread 21–24)°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts ENE | 11 kts | 1016 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 9. | 0800 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1017 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 9 (spread 8–11) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1017 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 11. | 1000 | 31°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 11 (spread 10–13) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1018 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 33 (spread 32–33)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 10 (spread 8–13) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1017 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 37 (spread 36–37)°C | Partly cloudy (43%) | 11 (spread 9–13) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 11 (spread 10–13) kts ENE | 20 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 11 (spread 10–12) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 38 (spread 36–39)°C | Partly cloudy (58%) | 11 (spread 9–12) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 37 (spread 35–38)°C | Cloudy (61%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts NE | 19 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 35 (spread 33–36)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 16 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 32 (spread 32–33)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 30 (spread 29–32)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 16 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 29 (spread 27–31)°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NNE | 20 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +12 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 28 (spread 26–30)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 27 (spread 25–29)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
Confidence: 80% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 20% of readings interpolated · first light 0540L · last light 1802L · Moon 2 % illuminated, rises 06:53, sets 18:30.
Wed 11 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Very Poor: partly cloudy, winds up to 11 kts NE, gusting 20 kts and temperatures 21–37°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall an improvement on the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 25 (spread 23–26)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 24 (spread 22–26)°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 23 (spread 21–25)°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · gust 11 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 22 (spread 20–23)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +6 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 10 kts | 1015 | D - Marginal | storm 5% · cloud 48%
| ⚠ cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 7. | 0600 | 21 (spread 20–23)°C | Partly cloudy (56%) | 5 (spread 3–8) kts NE | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | cloud 56% · gust 12 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 22 (spread 20–24)°C | Cloudy (69%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 69%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Cloudy (62%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1016 | F - Very Poor | cloud 62%
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Cloudy (60%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1016 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Cloudy (60%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts ENE | 18 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 31°C | Partly cloudy (54%) | 10 (spread 9–12) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 35 (spread 35–36)°C | Partly cloudy (51%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts ENE | 17 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 36 (spread 36–38)°C | Partly cloudy (52%) | 10 (spread 8–11) kts NE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 37 (spread 36–37)°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 11 (spread 10–11) kts NE | 17 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 16. | 1500 | 36 (spread 36–37)°C | Partly cloudy (59%) | 11 (spread 10–11) kts NE | 17 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 35 (spread 35–36)°C | Cloudy (62%) | 10 (spread 10–11) kts NE | 17 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | cloud 62% · gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 33 (spread 32–34)°C | Cloudy (61%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts NE | 16 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | cloud 61% · gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 30 (spread 30–31)°C | Cloudy (61%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 20 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 29 (spread 27–30)°C | Cloudy (69%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts NE | 19 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 69% · gust 19 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 27 (spread 26–29)°C | Partly cloudy (53%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NE | 16 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25 (spread 24–27)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 7 (spread 4–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 78% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 22% of readings interpolated · first light 0541L · last light 1802L · Moon 5 % illuminated, rises 07:46, sets 19:20.
Thu 12 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: partly cloudy, winds up to 9 kts NNE, gusting 20 kts and temperatures 20–35°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall an improvement on the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 23 (spread 21–25)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 22 (spread 20–23)°C | Clear (3%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (6%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Clear (10%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 10 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Clear (11%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 10 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 19–21)°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 7. | 0600 | 20°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 13 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +6 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 7 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 14 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 22 (spread 22–23)°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 14 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 27 (spread 27–29)°C | Clear (5%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 16 kts | 1016 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 29°C | Clear (5%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Clear (5%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NNE | 19 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts NNE | 20 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NNE | 20 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (45%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NNE | 20 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 33°C | Cloudy (61%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts NNE | 17 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | cloud 61% · gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 31 (spread 31–32)°C | Cloudy (74%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts NNE | 17 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 74% · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Cloudy (84%) | 6 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 84% · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27 (spread 26–27)°C | Overcast (93%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 93% · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Cloudy (82%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 82% · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Cloudy (66%) | 6 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | cloud 66% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24°C | Partly cloudy (54%) | 6 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | cloud 54% · gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts N | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
Confidence: 72% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 32% of readings interpolated · first light 0541L · last light 1802L · Moon 9 % illuminated, rises 08:38, sets 20:11.
Fri 13 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: partly cloudy, winds up to 7 kts NNE, gusting 16 kts and temperatures 18–34°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 5 kts N | 11 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts N | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 19 (spread 18–20)°C | Clear (11%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 7. | 0600 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NE | 9 kts | 1017 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NE | 9 kts | 1017 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 21 (spread 20–21)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NE | 10 kts | 1017 | · - No data | storm 4% · cloud 50% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1017 | E - Poor | cloud 57% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Cloudy (60%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts NE | 12 kts | 1017 | E - Poor | cloud 60% · gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Cloudy (66%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts NE | 13 kts | 1016 | F - Very Poor | cloud 66% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 33°C | Cloudy (70%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 14 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 70% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 34 (spread 34–35)°C | Cloudy (71%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 14 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 71% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 34°C | Cloudy (68%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | cloud 68% · gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 33 (spread 33–34)°C | Partly cloudy (58%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 32 (spread 32–33)°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts NNE | 16 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 31°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts N | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 28 (spread 27–28)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 14 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 26°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 25°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts N | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 24°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +6 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 23°C | Clear (9%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 10 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 22°C | Clear (5%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 9 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 72% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 32% of readings interpolated · first light 0541L · last light 1802L · Moon 15 % illuminated, rises 09:29, sets 21:03.
Sat 14 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 8 kts NE, gusting 16 kts and temperatures 17–35°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20 (spread 19–20)°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 4 kts NNE | 8 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 4% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (12%) | 4 (spread 3–4) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 5% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 4 (spread 3–4) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 4% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 18 (spread 17–18)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 4 (spread 2–4) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 4% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Partly cloudy (51%) | 4 (spread 2–4) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 5% · cloud 51% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 17 (spread 17–18)°C | Partly cloudy (59%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | cloud 59% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 18 (spread 17–19)°C | Cloudy (72%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 72% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Cloudy (84%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NE | 8 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 84% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Cloudy (74%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NE | 10 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 74% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 24 (spread 22–25)°C | Cloudy (63%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1016 | F - Very Poor | cloud 63% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 27 (spread 25–28)°C | Partly cloudy (54%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts NE | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | cloud 54% · gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 7 (spread 6–7) kts NE | 13 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 33 (spread 33–34)°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 35 (spread 34–36)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 14 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts NE | 16 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 16 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 33 (spread 33–34)°C | Clear (10%) | 7 (spread 6–10) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 31 (spread 31–32)°C | Clear (8%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 28°C | Clear (5%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts N | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 26 (spread 26–27)°C | Clear (0%) | 5 (spread 4–7) kts N | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts N | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25 (spread 24–25)°C | Clear (2%) | 5 kts N | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24 (spread 23–24)°C | Clear (2%) | 6 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 5% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (4%) | 6 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
Confidence: 72% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 29% of readings interpolated · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 23 % illuminated, rises 10:17, sets 21:54.
Sun 15 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Very Poor: clear, winds up to 10 kts NE, gusting 19 kts and temperatures 18–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Clear (5%) | 5 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Clear (11%) | 5 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 19°C | Clear (5%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 19 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (4%) | 5 (spread 4–5) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 18 (spread 18–19)°C | Clear (3%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 4% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 18°C | Clear (2%) | 4 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 7. | 0600 | 19°C | Clear (2%) | 5 kts NE | 9 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Clear (2%) | 6 kts NE | 10 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 21°C | Clear (2%) | 6 kts NE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 24°C | Clear (2%) | 7 kts NE | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 27°C | Clear (3%) | 8 kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 12. | 1100 | 29°C | Clear (4%) | 9 kts NE | 16 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Clear (6%) | 10 kts NE | 16 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Clear (7%) | 10 kts NE | 17 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Clear (6%) | 10 kts NE | 17 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 35°C | Clear (4%) | 9 kts NE | 17 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Clear (3%) | 8 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Clear (2%) | 7 kts NNE | 18 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Clear (2%) | 6 kts NNE | 19 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Clear (2%) | 6 kts N | 19 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · gust spread +13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Clear (2%) | 6 kts N | 18 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Clear (2%) | 6 kts N | 16 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24°C | Clear (2%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 23°C | Clear (2%) | 6 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 70% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 3% of readings interpolated · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 31 % illuminated, rises 11:01, sets 22:45.
Mon 16 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: clear, winds up to 9 kts NE, gusting 18 kts and temperatures 18–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall an improvement on the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Clear (2%) | 5 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Clear (3%) | 5 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Clear (3%) | 5 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 19°C | Clear (4%) | 5 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Clear (5%) | 4 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 18°C | Clear (6%) | 4 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 7. | 0600 | 19°C | Clear (8%) | 5 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Clear (9%) | 6 kts NE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Clear (10%) | 6 kts NE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 24°C | Clear (10%) | 7 kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 27°C | Clear (10%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 30°C | Clear (11%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Clear (12%) | 9 kts NE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 9 kts NE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 36°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 9 kts NE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 35°C | Clear (12%) | 9 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Clear (11%) | 8 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Clear (10%) | 8 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Clear (9%) | 7 kts N | 17 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Clear (9%) | 6 kts N | 18 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 27°C | Clear (9%) | 6 kts N | 18 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26°C | Clear (9%) | 6 kts N | 17 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25°C | Clear (9%) | 6 kts N | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Clear (9%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 69% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 40 % illuminated, rises 11:43, sets 23:33.
Tue 17 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 8 kts NNE, gusting 17 kts and temperatures 18–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Clear (9%) | 5 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Clear (10%) | 5 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Clear (10%) | 4 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust spread +6 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 19°C | Clear (11%) | 4 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 18°C | Clear (11%) | 4 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 18°C | Clear (12%) | 4 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 7. | 0600 | 19°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 5 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 6 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 6 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 24°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 7 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 27°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 30°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 8 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 8 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 8 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 36°C | Mostly clear (18%) | 8 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 35°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 8 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 8 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 7 kts N | 15 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 6 kts N | 17 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 6 kts N | 17 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 6 kts N | 17 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 6 kts N | 16 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 6 kts N | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 69% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0543L · last light 1801L · Moon 50 % illuminated, rises 12:22.
Wed 18 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 7 kts NE, gusting 17 kts and temperatures 18–37°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 4 kts N | 12 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 4 kts N | 11 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 4 kts N | 10 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 19°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 4 kts N | 9 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 4 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 18°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 4 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 7. | 0600 | 19°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 5 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 5 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 6 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 4% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 10. | 0900 | 24°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 27°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 7 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 30°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 7 kts NE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 35°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 7 kts NE | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 37°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 7 kts NE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 36°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 7 kts NE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 35°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 7 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 35°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 6 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 33°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 6 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 6 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1010 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 28°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 6 kts N | 17 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +12 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 27°C | Clear (12%) | 6 kts N | 17 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +11 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26°C | Clear (12%) | 6 kts N | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25°C | Clear (12%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24°C | Clear (12%) | 6 kts N | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 69% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0543L · last light 1801L · Moon 60 % illuminated, rises 12:59, sets 00:21.
TAF
| Valid (day hh Z) | Type | Wind | Visibility | Weather | Cloud |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) |
| 04 06Z - 05 12Z | prevailing | variable wind 2 kt | 10 km or more | none | no significant cloud |
| 04 07Z-09Z | BECMG | wind 030 deg 12 kt | - | - | - |
| 04 07Z-12Z | TEMPO | - | 5000 m | haze | - |
Decoded for reading; the raw TAF below is authoritative.
TAF DNMA 040500Z 0406/0512 VRB02KT CAVOK BECMG 0407/0409 03012KT TEMPO 0407/0412 5000 HZ
Imagery
Source panel
| Source | Accuracy | Skill n | Temp °C | Wind kt | Visibility | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov) | ≈ 1.0 | 1089 | — | 12 | 10+ km | — |
| ECMWF | ▲ 1.2 | 4239 | 23–29 | 2–6 | — | 0 % |
| Canada GEM | ▲ 1.2 | 3828 | 18–28 | 0–4 | — | 0 % |
| JMA GSM | ≈ 0.9 | 3829 | 25–30 | 4–6 | — | 0 % |
| MetCheck | ▽ 0.8 | 4026 | 23–32 | 3–10 | — | — |
| Météo-France | ≈ 1.0 | 4992 | 26–31 | 1–3 | — | 0 % |
| Met.no (Yr) | ▲ 1.2 | 2780 | 23–30 | 3–7 | — | 0 % |
| Open-Meteo | ≈ 1.0 | 7620 | 23–30 | 2–6 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| OpenWeather | ≈ 1.0 | 1323 | 25–29 | 6–11 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| Tomorrow.io | ▲ 1.2 | 3564 | 23–30 | 1–6 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| UK Met Office | ▲ 1.2 | 3763 | 17–28 | 1–3 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| Visual Crossing | ≈ 1.0 | 6232 | 21–29 | 6–11 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| wttr.in | ▽ 0.9 | 725 | 24–30 | 5–10 | 10+ km | 0 % |
Each source's own raw values, min–max over the next 6 hours from the issue hour (before any weighting or bias correction). — means the source does not publish that metric in the window. Wide gaps between rows are real disagreement; the forecast above weights sources by measured skill.
Reading this report
Grades: each hour carries one grade, set by its WORST factor. The bands below are the thresholds in force for this report (Settings); a value in a band earns that grade, and "-" means the factor never produces that grade. Cloud is graded on the worse of cover and ceiling. The Driver column names the limiting factor with its value; open it in the web report for the boundary and sources.
| Grade | Cloud cover | Cloud ceiling | Visibility | Wind | Gust | Rain chance | Thunderstorm probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| A Excellent | ≤ 17.1% | ≥ 30000 ft | ≥ 8000 m | < 3 kt | < 3 kt | < 5% | 0% |
| B Good | 17.1–34.3% | 26000–30000 ft | 6666.7–8000 m | 3–6 kt | 3–6 kt | 5–10% | - |
| C Fair | 34.3–42.9% | 24000–26000 ft | 5333.3–6666.7 m | 6–9 kt | 6–9 kt | 10–15% | - |
| D Marginal | 42.9–51.4% | 22000–24000 ft | 4000–5333.3 m | 9–12 kt | 9–12 kt | 15–20% | >0–15% |
| E Poor | 51.4–60% | 16000–22000 ft | 2666.7–4000 m | 12–15 kt | 12–15 kt | 20–25% | 15–30% |
| F Very Poor | 60–68.6% | 10000–16000 ft | 1333.3–2666.7 m | 15–18 kt | 15–18 kt | 25–30% | 30–60% |
| G Unacceptable | > 68.6% | < 10000 ft | < 1333.3 m | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 30% | > 60% |
Flight windows: a window is at least 2 consecutive hours graded Marginal or better; an hour with insufficient data never counts toward one. ☾ marks a window outside first-to-last light.
Time: hours are local time (WAT, UTC+1) unless suffixed Z, which is UTC (TAF, METAR and issue times). Local midnight is labelled 0001.
Units: temperature °C · wind and gusts knots · visibility metres (km in text) · cloud ceiling feet · cloud cover % · rain chance and thunderstorm probability % · QNH hPa (altimeter setting at the field) · CAPE J/kg. A figure like "28 (26–30)°C" gives the p10–p90 range; "spread" marks disagreement between sources.
Symbols: ▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations). ⚠ on a remark means a low-confidence hour; a ⚠ paragraph on the first page is a convective-warning or data-age advisory. ⚡ is lightning observed by satellite near the field (©EUMETSAT).
Hourly glyphs: the wind arrow points the way the air moves (a north wind is ↓, an east wind ←); cloud cover shows as ☀ ◔ ◑ ◕ ☁ (clear, few, scattered, broken, overcast); a shaded hour label is wholly before first light or after last light.
Terms: "No data" - no source forecast the hour, or a core group (cloud, visibility, wind) is missing and the hour could still be flyable; missing data is never given a good grade. "Low-confidence" - few or weak sources behind the load-bearing metrics; treat the grade as indicative. "Insufficient data" - too little to grade at all. "Estimated" (est.) - the value is derived, not reported by a source (dust visibility, cloud base, gusts); it is declared where used and weighted at half. "Derived" - an hour interpolated from a coarser (3-hourly or daily) source, weighted at half and never used to score accuracy.
Data provenance
| Source | Fetched (Z) | Age | Skill n | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) |
| Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov) | 5 Nov 03:20Z | 2 min | 1089 | ≈ 1.0 |
| Copernicus CAMS (via Open-Meteo) | 5 Nov 03:18Z | 4 min | - | - |
| ECMWF | 5 Nov 03:19Z | 3 min | 4239 | ▲ 1.2 |
| Foreca | 5 Nov 03:20Z | 2 min | 247 | ▽ 0.8 |
| Canada GEM | 5 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 3828 | ▲ 1.2 |
| JMA GSM | 5 Nov 03:18Z | 4 min | 3829 | ≈ 0.9 |
| MetCheck | 5 Nov 03:19Z | 3 min | 4026 | ▽ 0.8 |
| Météo-France | 5 Nov 03:18Z | 4 min | 4992 | ≈ 1.0 |
| Met.no (Yr) | 5 Nov 03:19Z | 3 min | 2780 | ▲ 1.2 |
| Open-Meteo | 5 Nov 03:19Z | 3 min | 7620 | ≈ 1.0 |
| OpenWeather | 5 Nov 03:18Z | 4 min | 1323 | ≈ 1.0 |
| Tomorrow.io | 5 Nov 03:18Z | 4 min | 3564 | ▲ 1.2 |
| UK Met Office | 5 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 3763 | ▲ 1.2 |
| Visual Crossing | 5 Nov 03:19Z | 4 min | 6232 | ≈ 1.0 |
| wttr.in | 5 Nov 03:18Z | 4 min | 725 | ▽ 0.9 |
Corrections applied (detailed under Learned corrections on the first page): skill weighting, bias correction, hour-of-day bias, cloud-base estimate, probability calibration, climatology bounds, skill blend.
How accurate have we been
Measured against observations (METAR/SYNOP), maiduguri only. Verification table computed 2026-11-05. Mean absolute error (MAE): lower is better; "beats persistence" compares the best source with "it will stay as it is now" on the same hours.
| Metric | Best source | Best MAE | Typical MAE | Persistence MAE | Beats persistence by | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | accuweather | 1.5 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 66 % | 46 |
| Dew point (°C) | aifs | 1.6 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 46 % | 200 |
| Wind speed (kt) | aifs | 1.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 47 % | 131 |
| Visibility (m) | ukmo | 467 | 681 | 1340 | 68 % | 1258 |
| Cloud cover (%) | accuweather | 10 | 59 | 8 | - | 27 |
Learned bias (forecast minus observed; positive = sources run high), mean over scored sources, by local time of day. These are corrected for before sources are averaged.
| Metric | Overall | Night | Morning | Afternoon | Evening | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | +0.9 | +2.1 | +1.8 | -0.4 | +0.6 | 26938 |
| Dew point (°C) | -6.2 | -6.7 | -5.7 | -6.1 | -6.4 | 22622 |
| Wind speed (kt) | +0.1 | +0.9 | -0.2 | +0.1 | -0.1 | 15566 |
Not yet available: Scores are decayed over the verification window (half-life 14 days); separate last-7-day and last-30-day windows are not stored. Bias is the current learned value; the history needed for a trend over time is not stored. Flight-window hit / bust / miss is not yet recorded.