Maiduguri — 14-Day Forecast
DNMA · issued 4 Nov 26 01:03Z
Sources used (8): ECMWF AIFS▲ 1.3 Copernicus CAMS (via Open-Meteo) ECMWF▲ 1.2 Canada GEM▲ 1.2 DWD ICON▲ 1.2 Météo-France≈ 1.0 Open-Meteo≈ 1.0 wttr.in▽ 0.9
▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations)
Wed4 Nov 26
·DDDDEGEDDDFGGFFFEDDDDDD
0100–0400L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾ 0800–1000L (Marginal, 3 h) 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾
66%
Thu5 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDDDEFFFFFEFDDDDDD
best window: 0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾ 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾
69%
Fri6 Nov 26
DDDDDDDDDDEEFFFFEEDDDDD·
0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾ 1800–2200L (Marginal, 5 h) ☾
69%
Sat7 Nov 26
···········EEFEEE·······
no windows
71%
Sun8 Nov 26
··········EEFFFFFE······
no windows
71%
Mon9 Nov 26
·········EFGGGGGGFEEFEE·
no windows
73%
Tue10 Nov 26
······EFFEFGGGGGGGFEEEE·
no windows
74%
Wed11 Nov 26
·E···FGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGFEE
no windows
68%
Thu12 Nov 26
·····FGGGGGGGGGGFFGFEEEG
no windows
67%
Fri13 Nov 26
GGGF····EEEFGGGGEEEEEEEE
no windows
67%
Sat14 Nov 26
EE········EEEEEFFEEEEEEE
no windows
54%
Sun15 Nov 26
EE·E······EEFFFFFFFEEEE·
no windows
54%
Mon16 Nov 26
·······EEEEEEFFFFFEEEEEE
no windows
54%
Tue17 Nov 26
··········EEEEFFFEFFEEEE
no windows
54%
A ExcellentB GoodC FairD MarginalE PoorF Very PoorG Unacceptable· No data
Best window (highest confidence, then grade, then length): Thu 5 Nov 26 0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾, confidence 69%.
Learned corrections (METAR-verified): skill weighting — pooled all-field scores for 206; bias corrections — openweather wind −3.8 kt, wttr.in wind −3.8 kt, meteoblue dewpoint +3.0 °C, Open-Meteo dewpoint +3.0 °C, metno dewpoint +3.0 °C, foreca dewpoint +3.0 °C (+67 more); hour-of-day bias (local time, shrunk toward the all-hours bias) — wttr.in evening wind −4.2 kt, openweather afternoon wind −3.9 kt, openweather evening wind −3.7 kt, wttr.in night wind −3.7 kt, openweather night wind −3.6 kt, wttr.in afternoon wind −3.4 kt (+284 more); cloud base estimated as 410 ft per °C of dewpoint spread for sources that report no ceiling (≥60% cloud cover; flagged estimated, weighted ×0.5); probability calibration — rain chance: meteoblue, Open-Meteo, foreca, metcheck, openweather, visualcrossing, tomorrowio, wttr.in, ECMWF, gfs, DWD ICON, ukmo, Canada GEM, ecmwfens; storm: Open-Meteo, metno, foreca, openweather, visualcrossing, tomorrowio, wttr.in, ECMWF, gfs, DWD ICON, Météo-France, aviationweather, ukmo, jma, Canada GEM, ecmwfens, ECMWF AIFS (each source's stated probability mapped to its verified frequency by an isotonic fit on ≥200 pairs, proven on the holdout); fog risk (n=1325): observed fog frequency by dewpoint spread, wind, local hour and season for the forecast conditions (shown from 10 %), proven on the holdout; plausibility bounds from ERA5 climatology 2016-2025 (mean ± 5 sd; screening only, not observed truth); skill blend 1 auto-tuned over 8384 holdout pairs (consensus beat the best single source, tomorrowio, by 17%); correction gates (newest-7-day holdout; pooled skill is always on) — regional skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); place skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); lead-time skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); small-sample skill shrinkage: off this week (did not improve holdout); bias correction: on (improved holdout by 24.3%); place bias: on (improved holdout by 12.1%); hour-of-day bias: on (improved holdout by 4.0%); QNH bias: on (improved holdout by 55.4%); gust estimates: off this week (did not improve holdout); cloud-base coefficient: off this week (insufficient holdout: 70 of 200 items); recent-form skill: off this week (did not improve holdout); probability calibration: on (improved holdout by 13.2%); nowcast anchor horizon: off this week (did not improve holdout); dust-visibility estimate: off this week (did not improve holdout); fog risk: on (improved holdout by 1.0%).
Outlook
| Day | Date | Outlook | Temp | Max wind | Flight windows | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| Wed | 4 Nov 26 | Marginal | 20–39°C | 9 kts NE, g 16 | 0100–0400L (Marginal, 4 h) ☾; 0800–1000L (Marginal, 3 h); 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾ | 66% | 23% interpolated |
| Thu | 5 Nov 26 | Marginal | 21–39°C | 9 kts NE, g 17 | 0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾; 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h) ☾ | 69% | 24% interpolated |
| Fri | 6 Nov 26 | Marginal | 22–38°C | 8 kts NE, g 16 | 0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) ☾; 1800–2200L (Marginal, 5 h) ☾ | 69% | 23% interpolated |
| Sat | 7 Nov 26 | Poor | 20–38°C | 7 kts NE, g 15 | none | 71% | 13% interpolated |
| Sun | 8 Nov 26 | Very Poor | 20–39°C | 8 kts ENE, g 15 | none | 71% | 18% interpolated |
| Mon | 9 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 22–39°C | 12 kts ENE, g 20 | none | 73% | 19% interpolated |
| Tue | 10 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 22–38°C | 13 kts NE, g 23 | none | 74% | 18% interpolated |
| Wed | 11 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 22–36°C | 10 kts NE, g 18 | none | 68% | 22% interpolated |
| Thu | 12 Nov 26 | Unacceptable | 20–35°C | 9 kts NE, g 15 | none | 67% | 22% interpolated |
| Fri | 13 Nov 26 | Poor | 18–34°C | 8 kts NE, g 14 | none | 67% | 21% interpolated |
| Sat | 14 Nov 26 | Poor | 17–34°C | 8 kts NNE, g 15 | none | 54% | |
| Sun | 15 Nov 26 | Poor | 16–34°C | 8 kts NNE, g 16 | none | 54% | |
| Mon | 16 Nov 26 | Poor | 17–35°C | 8 kts NNE, g 15 | none | 54% | |
| Tue | 17 Nov 26 | Poor | 17–36°C | 8 kts NNE, g 15 | none | 54% |
Today — Wed 4 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: partly cloudy, winds up to 9 kts NE, gusting 16 kts and temperatures 20–39°C. Flyable windows: 0100–0400L (Marginal, 4 h), 0800–1000L (Marginal, 3 h) and 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0100–2300L.
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | C | F | F | D |
| Visibility | A | A | A | A |
| Cloud / ceiling | E | G | G | D |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | - | No data | - | - | - | · - No data | cloud, visibility, wind not forecast
| |
| 2. | 0100 | 24 (spread 23–24)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 7 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 7 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 22 (spread 22–23)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts N | 5 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 22 (spread 21–22)°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NNE | 4 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Partly cloudy (53%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts N | 4 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | cloud 53%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20 (spread 20–22)°C | Cloudy (70%) | 3 (spread 0–5) kts N | 4 kts | 1010 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 70%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Partly cloudy (54%) | 3 (spread 0–5) kts N | 3 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | cloud 54%
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 25 (spread 24–26)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 3 (spread 1–5) kts NNE | 4 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NE | 8 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 31 (spread 31–32)°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 6 (spread 3–9) kts NE | 11 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · cloud 49%
| ⚠ cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 34°C | Cloudy (63%) | 8 (spread 6–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | cloud 63% · gust 15 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 36 (spread 36–38)°C | Cloudy (82%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1011 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 82%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Cloudy (77%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1010 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 77%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 39 (spread 38–39)°C | Cloudy (60%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 16 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 39 (spread 38–39)°C | Cloudy (62%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1009 | F - Very Poor | cloud 62% · gust 15 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 38 (spread 38–39)°C | Cloudy (62%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 14 kts | 1009 | F - Very Poor | cloud 62%
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 37 (spread 36–38)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NE | 13 kts | 1009 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 33 (spread 33–34)°C | Clear (11%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1009 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust spread +4 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 31 (spread 30–32)°C | Clear (8%) | 4 (spread 2–7) kts NNW | 6 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Clear (9%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts N | 6 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 7 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 26 (spread 26–27)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts N | 6 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 26 (spread 25–26)°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 5 (spread 2–6) kts N | 6 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · cloud 44%
| ⚠ cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 66% — data for 23 of 24 hours; 23% of readings interpolated · first light 0539L · last light 1803L · Moon 23 % illuminated, rises 01:50, sets 14:21.
Tomorrow — Thu 5 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: partly cloudy, winds up to 9 kts NE, gusting 17 kts and temperatures 21–39°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) and 1800–2300L (Marginal, 6 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| 00–06L | 06–12L | 12–18L | 18–24L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | C | F | F | D |
| Visibility | A | A | B | B |
| Cloud / ceiling | D | D | F | B |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 6 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · cloud 50%
| ⚠ cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Partly cloudy (51%) | 3 (spread 2–5) kts N | 6 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · cloud 51%
| ⚠ cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NNW | 5 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts NNE | 4 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 3 (spread 1–4) kts NNE | 4 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 21 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NNE | 3 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 21 (spread 21–22)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 3 (spread 1–5) kts NE | 3 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 3 (spread 1–5) kts NNE | 3 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 3 (spread 2–6) kts NNE | 5 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 8 kts | 1014 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 32°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts ENE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (51%) | 9 (spread 7–11) kts NE | 16 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 37 (spread 36–37)°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 17 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 38 (spread 38–39)°C | Partly cloudy (55%) | 8 (spread 7–10) kts ENE | 16 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 39°C | Partly cloudy (58%) | 9 (spread 6–11) kts NE | 16 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 39°C | Cloudy (66%) | 9 (spread 7–11) kts NE | 15 kts | 1009 | F - Very Poor | cloud 66% · gust 15 kt
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 17. | 1600 | 38 (spread 38–39)°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 8 (spread 7–8) kts NE | 14 kts | 1009 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 36 (spread 36–37)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1009 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 33 (spread 32–34)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1009 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust 10 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 20. | 1900 | 30°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts N | 9 kts | 1009 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust 9 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 21. | 2000 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust 9 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 22. | 2100 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 6 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 26 (spread 25–27)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 69% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 24% of readings interpolated · first light 0539L · last light 1803L · Moon 15 % illuminated, rises 02:40, sets 15:00.
Extended Outlook
| Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind | F | F | F | G | G | G | G | E | F | F | F | F |
| Visibility | A | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Cloud / ceiling | D | C | D | C | F | G | G | G | B | B | E | A |
| Precipitation | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A | A |
| Thunderstorm | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Fog | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Overall | F | F | F | G | G | G | G | G | F | F | F | F |
A Excellent · B Good · C Fair · D Marginal (flyable) · E Poor · F Very Poor · G Unacceptable · (worst condition in each period)
Fri 6 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Marginal: partly cloudy, winds up to 8 kts NE, gusting 16 kts and temperatures 22–38°C. Flyable windows: 0001–0900L (Marginal, 10 h) and 1800–2200L (Marginal, 5 h). Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 25°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 24 (spread 24–25)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 24 (spread 23–24)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 5 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust 9 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust 9 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 23 (spread 22–23)°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 22 (spread 20–24)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 5 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 22 (spread 20–24)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 5 (spread 2–8) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1011 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 22 (spread 20–24)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 4 (spread 2–9) kts NE | 7 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 25 (spread 24–27)°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 4 (spread 2–7) kts NE | 8 kts | 1012 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NE | 10 kts | 1013 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust 10 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 32 (spread 31–32)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 7 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 37 (spread 36–38)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 8 (spread 5–10) kts NE | 16 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 38 (spread 38–39)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 8 (spread 6–10) kts NE | 15 kts | 1010 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 38 (spread 38–39)°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 8 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1009 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 38 (spread 38–39)°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 8 (spread 7–10) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1009 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 8 (spread 6–11) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1008 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 18. | 1700 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 6 (spread 5–8) kts N | 13 kts | 1008 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 32 (spread 31–33)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts N | 9 kts | 1009 | D - Marginal | storm 6% · gust 9 kt
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 20. | 1900 | 30 (spread 29–31)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 7 kts | 1009 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 28 (spread 27–30)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts N | 6 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 6 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNW | 5 kts | 1010 | D - Marginal | storm 6%
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 24 (spread 23–25)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 3 (spread 3–5) kts NNW | 5 kts | 1010 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 69% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 23% of readings interpolated · first light 0539L · last light 1802L · Moon 8 % illuminated, rises 03:29, sets 15:38.
Sat 7 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 7 kts NE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 20–38°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NNW | 3 kts | 1010 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NW | 4 kts | 1010 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 21 (spread 21–22)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 2 (spread 1–4) kts NW | 3 kts | 1010 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NNW | 3 kts | 1010 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts NNW | 3 kts | 1010 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 18–23)°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 1 kts NNW | 3 kts | 1010 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 20 (spread 18–22)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 2 (spread 1–3) kts WNW | 2 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 21 (spread 19–23)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 2 (spread 2–3) kts WNW | 2 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 3 (spread 2–3) kts NNE | 4 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 28 (spread 28–29)°C | Mostly clear (19%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts ENE | 7 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 32 (spread 31–32)°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts ENE | 9 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 34 (spread 33–35)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 6 (spread 4–6) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 37 (spread 36–38)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 7 (spread 5–8) kts NE | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 7 (spread 5–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 38 (spread 38–39)°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 14 kts | 1010 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 38 (spread 38–39)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 5 (spread 2–7) kts NE | 13 kts | 1009 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 38 (spread 37–38)°C | Clear (9%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1009 | E - Poor | gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 18. | 1700 | 36 (spread 35–36)°C | Clear (8%) | 4 (spread 2–5) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1009 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 32 (spread 32–33)°C | Clear (6%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts N | 9 kts | 1010 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 30 (spread 29–30)°C | Clear (4%) | 3 (spread 3–4) kts NNW | 9 kts | 1010 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 28 (spread 27–29)°C | Clear (4%) | 3 (spread 3–4) kts NNW | 8 kts | 1010 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust spread +5 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 22. | 2100 | 27 (spread 26–29)°C | Clear (3%) | 3 (spread 3–4) kts NNW | 5 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 26 (spread 24–28)°C | Clear (3%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NW | 5 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 25 (spread 23–27)°C | Clear (5%) | 3 (spread 2–4) kts NW | 4 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 71% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 13% of readings interpolated · first light 0539L · last light 1802L · Moon 4 % illuminated, rises 04:19, sets 16:18.
Sun 8 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Very Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 8 kts ENE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 20–39°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 23 (spread 22–26)°C | Clear (7%) | 2 (spread 1–4) kts NW | 4 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 21°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 3 (spread 2–3) kts NNW | 4 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 20 (spread 20–22)°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 3 kts NNW | 4 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 20 (spread 19–22)°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 3 kts NNW | 4 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 21 (spread 20–22)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 3 kts N | 5 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 20 (spread 20–21)°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 2 (spread 2–3) kts N | 4 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 21°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 3 (spread 2–5) kts N | 4 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 4 (spread 2–6) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 25°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 6 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 29°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 6 kts NE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 32°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts ENE | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 35 (spread 34–35)°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 14 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 37°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 38 (spread 38–39)°C | Partly cloudy (45%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 39 (spread 38–40)°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 39 (spread 39–40)°C | Partly cloudy (40%) | 8 (spread 7–9) kts ENE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 39 (spread 38–39)°C | Partly cloudy (44%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 36 (spread 35–37)°C | Partly cloudy (36%) | 6 (spread 6–7) kts NE | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 19. | 1800 | 33°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 6 (spread 4–7) kts NNE | 10 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 20. | 1900 | 30°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 21. | 2000 | 29 (spread 28–29)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 5 (spread 5–6) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 22. | 2100 | 27 (spread 27–28)°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 27 (spread 26–28)°C | Clear (9%) | 5 (spread 3–6) kts N | 7 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 25 (spread 24–27)°C | Clear (7%) | 5 (spread 3–7) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 71% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 18% of readings interpolated · first light 0540L · last light 1802L · Moon 1 % illuminated, rises 05:09, sets 16:59.
Mon 9 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: mostly clear, winds up to 12 kts ENE, gusting 20 kts and temperatures 22–39°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall a deterioration from the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 24 (spread 24–25)°C | Clear (8%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 4 (spread 3–6) kts NNE | 8 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Clear (8%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NNE | 7 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 4. | 0300 | 22 (spread 22–23)°C | Clear (6%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 7 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 5. | 0400 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Clear (5%) | 4 (spread 3–5) kts NE | 7 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 4 (spread 4–5) kts NE | 7 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 22 (spread 21–23)°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 5 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 7 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 23 (spread 21–24)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 8 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk |
| 9. | 0800 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 7 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 10 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 29 (spread 29–30)°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 9 (spread 8–10) kts NE | 14 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 32 (spread 32–33)°C | Mostly clear (22%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts NE | 17 kts | 1017 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 35 (spread 34–36)°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 10 (spread 10–11) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 13. | 1200 | 37 (spread 36–38)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 12 (spread 11–13) kts ENE | 20 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 11 (spread 11–12) kts ENE | 19 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 39 (spread 38–40)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 12 (spread 11–12) kts ENE | 20 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 39 (spread 38–40)°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 12 (spread 11–12) kts ENE | 20 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 20 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 38 (spread 37–39)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 10 (spread 9–12) kts NE | 19 kts | 1012 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 36 (spread 35–37)°C | Partly cloudy (34%) | 9 (spread 9–10) kts NE | 17 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 33 (spread 33–34)°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 9 (spread 7–10) kts NE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 31 (spread 30–33)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 21. | 2000 | 30 (spread 29–32)°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 8 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 29 (spread 27–31)°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 8 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 28 (spread 26–30)°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 8 (spread 5–9) kts NNE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 24. | 2300 | 27 (spread 25–29)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 8 (spread 6–9) kts NE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 73% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 19% of readings interpolated · first light 0540L · last light 1802L · Moon 0 % illuminated, rises 06:00, sets 17:43.
Tue 10 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: partly cloudy, winds up to 13 kts NE, gusting 23 kts and temperatures 22–38°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 26 (spread 25–28)°C | Clear (11%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 25 (spread 24–27)°C | Clear (0%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 24 (spread 23–26)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 10 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 24 (spread 22–25)°C | Mostly clear (31%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NE | 10 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 6 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 10 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Partly cloudy (46%) | 5 (spread 4–6) kts NE | 8 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · cloud 46% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 22 (spread 21–24)°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 9 kts | 1017 | E - Poor | cloud 57% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 8. | 0700 | 23 (spread 22–24)°C | Cloudy (67%) | 6 (spread 4–8) kts NE | 9 kts | 1017 | F - Very Poor | cloud 67% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 25 (spread 25–26)°C | Cloudy (65%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 10 kts | 1018 | F - Very Poor | cloud 65% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 29 (spread 28–30)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 14 kts | 1018 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 32 (spread 30–33)°C | Partly cloudy (52%) | 10 (spread 9–11) kts NE | 17 kts | 1018 | F - Very Poor | gust 17 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 12. | 1100 | 34 (spread 33–36)°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 12 (spread 11–12) kts NE | 19 kts | 1017 | G - Unacceptable | gust 19 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 36 (spread 35–37)°C | Partly cloudy (51%) | 13 (spread 12–13) kts NE | 21 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, strong wind, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 37 (spread 36–38)°C | Cloudy (60%) | 13 (spread 13–14) kts NE | 22 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 22 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, strong wind, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 38 (spread 36–39)°C | Partly cloudy (52%) | 13 kts NE | 22 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | gust 22 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, strong wind, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 37 (spread 36–38)°C | Partly cloudy (52%) | 12 (spread 12–13) kts NE | 23 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 23 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, strong wind, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 36 (spread 35–37)°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 11 kts NE | 21 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust 21 kt · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 18. | 1700 | 34 (spread 33–35)°C | Partly cloudy (51%) | 10 (spread 9–10) kts NE | 18 kts | 1013 | G - Unacceptable | gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 19. | 1800 | 32 (spread 31–32)°C | Partly cloudy (49%) | 9 (spread 8–9) kts NE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 20. | 1900 | 30 (spread 29–31)°C | Partly cloudy (55%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | cloud 55% · gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 28 (spread 27–30)°C | Partly cloudy (43%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 27 (spread 26–29)°C | Partly cloudy (37%) | 7 (spread 6–8) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 26 (spread 24–28)°C | Partly cloudy (33%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts NNE | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 25 (spread 23–27)°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 7 (spread 7–8) kts NNE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
Confidence: 74% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 18% of readings interpolated · first light 0540L · last light 1802L · Moon 2 % illuminated, rises 06:53, sets 18:30.
Wed 11 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: cloudy, winds up to 10 kts NE, gusting 18 kts and temperatures 22–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 23 (spread 23–24)°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 (spread 5–7) kts NNE | 9 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 2. | 0100 | 24°C | Clear (6%) | 6 kts N | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 23°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 6 kts N | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 23°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 6 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 22°C | Partly cloudy (47%) | 6 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · cloud 47% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 22°C | Cloudy (67%) | 6 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1016 | F - Very Poor | cloud 67% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 7. | 0600 | 22°C | Cloudy (86%) | 8 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 86% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 8. | 0700 | 23°C | Overcast (100%) | 8 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 100% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 24°C | Overcast (100%) | 8 kts NE | 12 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 100% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 26°C | Overcast (100%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 100% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 29°C | Overcast (100%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 100% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 31°C | Overcast (100%) | 8 kts NE | 16 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 100% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 35°C | Overcast (98%) | 10 kts NE | 17 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 98% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 14. | 1300 | 36°C | Overcast (97%) | 10 kts NE | 18 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 97% · gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 15. | 1400 | 36°C | Overcast (98%) | 9 kts NE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 98% · gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 16. | 1500 | 35°C | Overcast (100%) | 9 kts NE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 100% · gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk, strong wind |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Overcast (100%) | 8 kts NE | 18 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 100% · gust 18 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 33°C | Overcast (99%) | 8 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 99% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 30°C | Overcast (99%) | 7 kts NNE | 17 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 99% · gust spread +10 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 29°C | Overcast (96%) | 7 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 96% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 28°C | Cloudy (82%) | 7 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 82% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 27°C | Cloudy (64%) | 7 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1015 | F - Very Poor | cloud 64% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 26°C | Partly cloudy (42%) | 7 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 25°C | Mostly clear (24%) | 8 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
Confidence: 68% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 22% of readings interpolated · first light 0541L · last light 1802L · Moon 5 % illuminated, rises 07:46, sets 19:20.
Thu 12 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Unacceptable: cloudy, winds up to 9 kts NE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 20–35°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 23°C | Clear (8%) | 6 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 23°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 3. | 0200 | 22°C | Clear (8%) | 6 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 21°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 6 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (41%) | 6 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 20°C | Cloudy (61%) | 6 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1016 | F - Very Poor | cloud 61% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 7. | 0600 | 20°C | Cloudy (80%) | 8 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1017 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 80% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 8. | 0700 | 21°C | Overcast (94%) | 8 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1017 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 94% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 22°C | Overcast (98%) | 8 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1017 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 98% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 24°C | Overcast (99%) | 8 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1017 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 99% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 27°C | Overcast (100%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 100% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 29°C | Overcast (100%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 100% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 33°C | Overcast (100%) | 9 kts NE | 14 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 100% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, strong wind, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 35°C | Overcast (97%) | 8 kts NE | 15 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 97% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Cloudy (87%) | 8 kts NE | 15 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 87% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Cloudy (73%) | 7 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 73% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 33°C | Partly cloudy (59%) | 7 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Partly cloudy (45%) | 6 kts N | 15 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 5 kts N | 15 kts | 1014 | G - Unacceptable | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 28°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 5 kts N | 14 kts | 1014 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 27°C | Partly cloudy (35%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26°C | Partly cloudy (47%) | 6 kts N | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25°C | Partly cloudy (59%) | 6 kts N | 11 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | cloud 59% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 23°C | Cloudy (74%) | 6 kts N | 11 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 74% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
Confidence: 67% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 22% of readings interpolated · first light 0541L · last light 1802L · Moon 9 % illuminated, rises 08:38, sets 20:11.
Fri 13 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: partly cloudy, winds up to 8 kts NE, gusting 14 kts and temperatures 18–34°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall an improvement on the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 21°C | Cloudy (85%) | 5 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 85% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 21°C | Overcast (90%) | 5 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 90% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 3. | 0200 | 20°C | Cloudy (80%) | 5 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1016 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 80% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 19°C | Cloudy (65%) | 6 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1016 | F - Very Poor | cloud 65% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 19°C | Partly cloudy (46%) | 6 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · cloud 46% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 6. | 0500 | 18°C | Mostly clear (27%) | 6 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 7. | 0600 | 19°C | Clear (12%) | 8 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Clear (5%) | 8 kts NE | 11 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 21°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 8 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 10. | 0900 | 23°C | Mostly clear (29%) | 8 kts NE | 12 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 11. | 1000 | 26°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 8 kts NE | 13 kts | 1016 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 29°C | Cloudy (68%) | 7 kts NE | 13 kts | 1016 | F - Very Poor | cloud 68% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 33°C | Cloudy (84%) | 8 kts NE | 14 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 84% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 34°C | Overcast (94%) | 7 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 94% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 34°C | Cloudy (84%) | 7 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 84% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Cloudy (70%) | 7 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1015 | G - Unacceptable | cloud 70% · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 32°C | Partly cloudy (52%) | 7 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | cloud 52% · gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| cloud cover, gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 31°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 28°C | Mostly clear (14%) | 5 kts N | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 24°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 23°C | Clear (0%) | 7 kts N | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
Confidence: 67% — data for 24 of 24 hours; 21% of readings interpolated · first light 0541L · last light 1802L · Moon 15 % illuminated, rises 09:29, sets 21:03.
Sat 14 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: mostly clear, winds up to 8 kts NNE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 17–34°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 19°C | Clear (4%) | 5 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 18°C | Clear (9%) | 5 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 17°C | Mostly clear (15%) | 5 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 17°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 5 kts NE | 10 kts | 1015 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 7. | 0600 | 18°C | Mostly clear (26%) | 7 kts NE | 10 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 7 kts NE | 10 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 7 kts NE | 10 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 22°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 7 kts NE | 11 kts | 1016 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 11. | 1000 | 25°C | Mostly clear (21%) | 6 kts NE | 12 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 28°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 6 kts NE | 13 kts | 1015 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 32°C | Mostly clear (13%) | 8 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 34°C | Clear (10%) | 7 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 34°C | Clear (8%) | 7 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 33°C | Clear (6%) | 7 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 32°C | Clear (4%) | 7 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 31°C | Clear (2%) | 7 kts N | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 28°C | Clear (1%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 25°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 24°C | Clear (0%) | 7 kts N | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 23. | 2200 | 23°C | Clear (0%) | 7 kts N | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 22°C | Clear (0%) | 7 kts N | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
Confidence: 54% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 23 % illuminated, rises 10:17, sets 21:54.
Sun 15 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: clear, winds up to 8 kts NNE, gusting 16 kts and temperatures 16–34°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 2. | 0100 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 3. | 0200 | 18°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 11 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 17°C | Clear (0%) | 4 kts N | 11 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust spread +6 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 16°C | Clear (0%) | 4 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 16°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 7. | 0600 | 17°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Clear (0%) | 7 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 19°C | Clear (4%) | 7 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 22°C | Clear (10%) | 7 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1014 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 11. | 1000 | 25°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 7 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1014 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 28°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 7 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 13. | 1200 | 32°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 8 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 14. | 1300 | 34°C | Mostly clear (30%) | 8 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1013 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 34°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 8 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 33°C | Mostly clear (23%) | 8 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 32°C | Mostly clear (17%) | 7 kts NNE | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 31°C | Clear (10%) | 7 kts N | 16 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 16 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 28°C | Clear (4%) | 6 kts N | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 26°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 25°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 24°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 23°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 22°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 11 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
Confidence: 54% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 31 % illuminated, rises 11:01, sets 22:45.
Mon 16 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: partly cloudy, winds up to 8 kts NNE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 17–35°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20°C | Clear (0%) | 4 kts N | 10 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 10 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 18°C | Clear (7%) | 5 kts N | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 4. | 0300 | 17°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 5 kts N | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 5. | 0400 | 17°C | Mostly clear (28%) | 5 kts N | 8 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 6. | 0500 | 17°C | Partly cloudy (39%) | 5 kts N | 8 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk |
| 7. | 0600 | 18°C | Partly cloudy (48%) | 6 kts NNE | 8 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · cloud 48% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 8. | 0700 | 18°C | Partly cloudy (55%) | 6 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | cloud 55% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 20°C | Partly cloudy (58%) | 6 kts NNE | 9 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | cloud 58% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 23°C | Cloudy (60%) | 7 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | cloud 60% · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 11. | 1000 | 26°C | Cloudy (60%) | 7 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | cloud 60% · gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 28°C | Partly cloudy (59%) | 7 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | cloud 59% · gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 33°C | Partly cloudy (57%) | 8 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | cloud 57% · gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ cloud cover, gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (54%) | 8 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, cloud cover, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 15. | 1400 | 35°C | Partly cloudy (50%) | 8 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1012 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 34°C | Partly cloudy (45%) | 8 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, cloud cover, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 33°C | Partly cloudy (38%) | 7 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Mostly clear (32%) | 7 kts N | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 28°C | Mostly clear (25%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 27°C | Mostly clear (20%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 26°C | Mostly clear (16%) | 6 kts N | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 25°C | Clear (12%) | 6 kts N | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 24°C | Clear (8%) | 6 kts N | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 23°C | Clear (5%) | 7 kts N | 12 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
Confidence: 54% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0542L · last light 1801L · Moon 40 % illuminated, rises 11:43, sets 23:33.
Tue 17 Nov 26
Conditions are expected to be generally Poor: clear, winds up to 8 kts NNE, gusting 15 kts and temperatures 17–36°C. No flyable windows (Marginal or better, ≥2 consecutive hrs) are forecast. Hazards: thunderstorm risk 0001–2300L. Overall similar to the previous day.
| Ser | Hrs | Temp | Cloud | Wind | Gust | QNH | Assessment | Driver | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) | (i) | (j) |
| 1. | 0001 | 20°C | Clear (2%) | 5 kts N | 11 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 2. | 0100 | 20°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 11 kts | 1011 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 3. | 0200 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 11 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 4. | 0300 | 18°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 10 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 5. | 0400 | 17°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 10 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 6. | 0500 | 17°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 9 kts | 1012 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 7. | 0600 | 18°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 9 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 8. | 0700 | 19°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 9 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 9. | 0800 | 21°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts NNE | 10 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 10 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts |
| 10. | 0900 | 23°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts NNE | 11 kts | 1013 | · - No data | storm 6% · gust 11 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ thunderstorm risk, gusts, wind shear |
| 11. | 1000 | 26°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts NNE | 12 kts | 1013 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 12. | 1100 | 29°C | Clear (0%) | 7 kts NNE | 13 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 13. | 1200 | 34°C | Clear (0%) | 8 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 14. | 1300 | 35°C | Clear (0%) | 8 kts NNE | 14 kts | 1012 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 15. | 1400 | 36°C | Clear (0%) | 8 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 16. | 1500 | 35°C | Clear (0%) | 7 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 17. | 1600 | 34°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts NNE | 15 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust 15 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 18. | 1700 | 32°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 14 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 14 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 19. | 1800 | 29°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 14 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 20. | 1900 | 28°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 14 kts | 1011 | F - Very Poor | gust spread +9 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ wind shear, gusts, thunderstorm risk |
| 21. | 2000 | 27°C | Clear (0%) | 5 kts N | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +8 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 22. | 2100 | 26°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 13 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 13 kt · gust spread +7 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, wind shear, thunderstorm risk |
| 23. | 2200 | 25°C | Clear (0%) | 6 kts N | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
| 24. | 2300 | 23°C | Clear (0%) | 7 kts N | 12 kts | 1011 | E - Poor | gust 12 kt · visibility not forecast
| ⚠ gusts, thunderstorm risk, wind shear |
Confidence: 54% — data for 24 of 24 hours · first light 0543L · last light 1801L · Moon 50 % illuminated, rises 12:22.
TAF
No TAF available for this location.
Imagery
Source panel
| Source | Accuracy | Skill n | Temp °C | Wind kt | Visibility | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| ECMWF AIFS | ▲ 1.3 | 605 | 22 | 4–5 | — | 0 % |
| ECMWF | ▲ 1.2 | 4080 | 22–23 | 3–5 | — | 0 % |
| Canada GEM | ▲ 1.2 | 3598 | 19–22 | 1–5 | — | 0 % |
| DWD ICON | ▲ 1.2 | 5948 | 19–21 | 1–2 | — | 0 % |
| Météo-France | ≈ 1.0 | 4801 | 25–27 | 1–4 | — | 0 % |
| Open-Meteo | ≈ 1.0 | 6931 | 21–24 | 3–5 | 10+ km | 0 % |
| wttr.in | ▽ 0.9 | 686 | 22–26 | 2–6 | 10+ km | 0 % |
Each source's own raw values, min–max over the next 6 hours from the issue hour (before any weighting or bias correction). — means the source does not publish that metric in the window. Wide gaps between rows are real disagreement; the forecast above weights sources by measured skill.
Reading this report
Grades: each hour carries one grade, set by its WORST factor. The bands below are the thresholds in force for this report (Settings); a value in a band earns that grade, and "-" means the factor never produces that grade. Cloud is graded on the worse of cover and ceiling. The Driver column names the limiting factor with its value; open it in the web report for the boundary and sources.
| Grade | Cloud cover | Cloud ceiling | Visibility | Wind | Gust | Rain chance | Thunderstorm probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) | (h) |
| A Excellent | ≤ 17.1% | ≥ 30000 ft | ≥ 8000 m | < 3 kt | < 3 kt | < 5% | 0% |
| B Good | 17.1–34.3% | 26000–30000 ft | 6666.7–8000 m | 3–6 kt | 3–6 kt | 5–10% | - |
| C Fair | 34.3–42.9% | 24000–26000 ft | 5333.3–6666.7 m | 6–9 kt | 6–9 kt | 10–15% | - |
| D Marginal | 42.9–51.4% | 22000–24000 ft | 4000–5333.3 m | 9–12 kt | 9–12 kt | 15–20% | >0–15% |
| E Poor | 51.4–60% | 16000–22000 ft | 2666.7–4000 m | 12–15 kt | 12–15 kt | 20–25% | 15–30% |
| F Very Poor | 60–68.6% | 10000–16000 ft | 1333.3–2666.7 m | 15–18 kt | 15–18 kt | 25–30% | 30–60% |
| G Unacceptable | > 68.6% | < 10000 ft | < 1333.3 m | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 18 kt | ≥ 30% | > 60% |
Flight windows: a window is at least 2 consecutive hours graded Marginal or better; an hour with insufficient data never counts toward one. ☾ marks a window outside first-to-last light.
Time: hours are local time (WAT, UTC+1) unless suffixed Z, which is UTC (TAF, METAR and issue times). Local midnight is labelled 0001.
Units: temperature °C · wind and gusts knots · visibility metres (km in text) · cloud ceiling feet · cloud cover % · rain chance and thunderstorm probability % · QNH hPa (altimeter setting at the field) · CAPE J/kg. A figure like "28 (26–30)°C" gives the p10–p90 range; "spread" marks disagreement between sources.
Symbols: ▲ better than the pool · ▽ worse (only when the 95% interval excludes the pool) · ≈ not distinguishable from the pool · unmarked = unproven (accuracy is measured against METAR and SYNOP observations). ⚠ on a remark means a low-confidence hour; a ⚠ paragraph on the first page is a convective-warning or data-age advisory. ⚡ is lightning observed by satellite near the field (©EUMETSAT).
Hourly glyphs: the wind arrow points the way the air moves (a north wind is ↓, an east wind ←); cloud cover shows as ☀ ◔ ◑ ◕ ☁ (clear, few, scattered, broken, overcast); a shaded hour label is wholly before first light or after last light.
Terms: "No data" - no source forecast the hour, or a core group (cloud, visibility, wind) is missing and the hour could still be flyable; missing data is never given a good grade. "Low-confidence" - few or weak sources behind the load-bearing metrics; treat the grade as indicative. "Insufficient data" - too little to grade at all. "Estimated" (est.) - the value is derived, not reported by a source (dust visibility, cloud base, gusts); it is declared where used and weighted at half. "Derived" - an hour interpolated from a coarser (3-hourly or daily) source, weighted at half and never used to score accuracy.
Data provenance
| Source | Fetched (Z) | Age | Skill n | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) |
| ECMWF AIFS | 4 Nov 01:01Z | 2 min | 605 | ▲ 1.3 |
| Copernicus CAMS (via Open-Meteo) | 4 Nov 01:01Z | 2 min | - | - |
| ECMWF | 4 Nov 01:01Z | 2 min | 4080 | ▲ 1.2 |
| Canada GEM | 4 Nov 01:02Z | 1 min | 3598 | ▲ 1.2 |
| DWD ICON | 4 Nov 01:01Z | 2 min | 5948 | ▲ 1.2 |
| Météo-France | 4 Nov 01:01Z | 1 min | 4801 | ≈ 1.0 |
| Open-Meteo | 4 Nov 01:01Z | 2 min | 6931 | ≈ 1.0 |
| wttr.in | 4 Nov 01:01Z | 1 min | 686 | ▽ 0.9 |
Corrections applied (detailed under Learned corrections on the first page): skill weighting, bias correction, hour-of-day bias, cloud-base estimate, probability calibration, fog risk, climatology bounds, skill blend.
How accurate have we been
Measured against observations (METAR/SYNOP), maiduguri only. Verification table computed 2026-11-04. Mean absolute error (MAE): lower is better; "beats persistence" compares the best source with "it will stay as it is now" on the same hours.
| Metric | Best source | Best MAE | Typical MAE | Persistence MAE | Beats persistence by | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | accuweather | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 66 % | 46 |
| Dew point (°C) | aifs | 1.5 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 46 % | 179 |
| Wind speed (kt) | aifs | 1.9 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 48 % | 117 |
| Visibility (m) | ukmo | 532 | 790 | 1365 | 66 % | 1140 |
| Cloud cover (%) | accuweather | 10 | 60 | 8 | - | 27 |
Learned bias (forecast minus observed; positive = sources run high), mean over scored sources, by local time of day. These are corrected for before sources are averaged.
| Metric | Overall | Night | Morning | Afternoon | Evening | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | (f) | (g) |
| Temperature (°C) | +0.9 | +2.1 | +1.4 | -0.2 | +0.8 | 24872 |
| Dew point (°C) | -6.1 | -6.7 | -5.5 | -6.0 | -6.4 | 21675 |
| Wind speed (kt) | -0.0 | +1.1 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 14126 |
Not yet available: Scores are decayed over the verification window (half-life 14 days); separate last-7-day and last-30-day windows are not stored. Bias is the current learned value; the history needed for a trend over time is not stored. Flight-window hit / bust / miss is not yet recorded.